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PropBetGuy’s Tuesday NBA Player Props: Will Kevin Huerter’s Usage Decline?

PropBetGuy’s Tuesday NBA Player Props: Will Kevin Huerter’s Usage Decline? article feature image

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PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Kevin Huerter Points + Rebounds + Assists

Prop Under 17.5 PRA
Matchup Hawks at Celtics
Time 7:30 p.m. ET
Books Available FanDuel

While this line sits almost exactly on Huerter’s season average of 17.6 points, rebounds and assists (PRA), there are a few factors to swing me towards the under.

With Bogdan Bogdanovic back in the fold, Huerter’s production and usage takes a hit. When the two play together, Huerter’s PRA drops to 15.5. And Bogdanovic’s presence removes any guarantee of Huerter playing crunch-time minutes, even if this game stays close.

Secondly, there’s the matchup. The Celtics rate as the league’s premier defense over the last 15 games, while yielding the lowest opponent effective field goal percentage. This holds true against wing players, as Boston has given up the third fewest PRA on the lowest field goal percentage over that same span.

Tonight, I have Huerter projected at around 15 PRA.

Pick: Kevin Huerter under 17.5 points, rebounds and assists (-118 at FanDuel). Bet to -135.

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