PropBetGuy’s NBA Player Props: Reggie Jackson Can’t Carry Shorthanded Clippers Without Paul George

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.

Reggie Jackson Under Points + Assists

In a season riddled with injuries, Jackson has been one of the very few steadying presences for the Clippers this season. The point guard averaged 21.6 P+A across 75 games this season. That being said, he was anything but efficient.

Jackson is best when he can get to the basket. He shot just 35% on jump shots this season, including 32% from behind the arc. The Pelicans' big front line protects the rim well, allowing the third-lowest frequency of made shots within 10 feet. Across Jackson’s 21 games against the top 10 teams in this category, he only averaged 14.8 points on 35% shooting (25% from deep).

And in terms of playmaking, Jackson averaged 5.3 assists without Paul George in the lineup this season — George has been ruled out due to health and safety protocols. The Pelicans' half-court defense has been stout, especially over the second half of the season and I don’t see this as a big playmaking game for Jackson either.

Even with a projected 40-plus minutes, this game sets up better offensively for Norman Powell, Marcus Morris, and the Clippers' better perimeter shooters. After shooting a grotesque 15-for-55 in his four matchups against the Pelicans in the regular season, I expect Jackson to take a backseat tonight.

I have the point guard projected at 23 P+A and this is playable down to 26.5.