PropBetGuy’s Friday NBA Player Prop: Ivica Zubac Matches Up Poorly Against Bucks

PropBetGuy breaks down his favorite NBA prop of the day below, but you can follow all of his bets in the Action Network app.

Ivica Zubac PRA

The list of players out for this game tonight reads like a CVS receipt: Giannis Antetokounmpo, Khris Middleton, Jrue Holiday, Brook Lopez, Paul George, Reggie Jackson, Marcus Morris and Nic Batum (as of writing). While that leaves a whole lot of production on the table for each team, I’m still looking to fade the Clippers big man tonight.

It wouldn’t be fair to evaluate Zubac based on his 20 PRA season average, given the lack of available Clippers. However, in 233 minutes without George and Jackson on the floor this season, Zubac is only averaging 23.3 PRA per 30 minutes.

And even with only 8 active players, 30 minutes is not guaranteed for Big Zu. His backup, Isaiah Hartenstein, will be available. Hartenstein has acquitted himself well of late for the Clippers, and in a game that has almost no playoff implications, he might see an uptick in minutes. Robert Covington could also poach some time as a small-ball center.

The Bucks, who’ve allowed the 7th fewest PRA to opposing centers this season, will still have Bobby Portis and Serge Ibaka in the lineup tonight.

Coming off a hard-fought road game last night, I don’t see Zubac producing much against the Bucks. I have the big man projected at 22 PRA.

Pick: Zubac under 26.5 PRA (-120 at Caesars) | Bet to: 25.5

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