PropBetGuy’s Friday NBA Player Props: Malcolm Brogdon’s Minutes Are Ramping Up
Dylan Buell/Getty Images. Pictured: Malcolm Brogdon
PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day here, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.
Malcolm Brogdon Over PRAs
|Prop||Over 28.5 PRAs|
|Matchup||Pacers at Pistons|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
With Brogdon nursing an Achilles injury for the last few months, it was beginning to look like a lost season for the Pacers guard.
Not only did the Virginia product come back, but he and the Pacers look a bit rejuvenated after swinging a trade for Tyrese Haliburton and Buddy Hield to tandem with their floor general.
When healthy, Brogdon has produced across the board once again this season, averaging 30.1 PRA. In games where he’s played at least 26 minutes, the point guard is putting up 32.7 PRA, going over 28.5 PRAs in 69% of games (18/28).
The minutes are the big question mark here — but Brogdon is coming off a season-high 41 in an overtime win on Wednesday. Playing perhaps his best game of the season (which included 15 trips to the free throw line), it seems that any potential restrictions on his playing time are loosening.
The Pistons are struggling mightily on defense, rating 28th over the last 15 games. Without a good individual matchup for Brogdon, I like the versatile guard to have a big game. I’m projecting Brogdon north of 30 PRA.
Pick: Malcolm Brogdon over 28.5 points, rebounds and assists (-110 at DraftKings). Playable to 29.5.
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