Welcome to Week 11.
The Noon slate kicks off with a huge Big 12 battle between BYU and Texas Tech, but there are several other games of intrigue in the early slate.
Our staff of college football experts has worked relentlessly this week, creating the best sports betting content in the business. We've compiled our five favorite noon best bets below.
Read on for our college football picks and best bets for the noon slate on Saturday, Nov. 8.
College Football Picks, Best Bets
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our college football betting staff is targeting from Saturday's noon slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 12 p.m. | |
 | Noon | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAF Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
BYU vs. Texas Tech Pick
The BYU defense will be prepared to stop the Red Raiders' inside zone-read concepts, led by running backs Cameron Dickey and J'Koby Williams.
Texas Tech has been poor on the offensive line, leaving both Williams and Dickey to produce a minimum of 3.5 yards after first contact.
BYU's defense ranks mid-FBS in broken and missed tackles allowed, indicating that most rushing attempts will be boom-or-bust. Texas Tech will want to avoid passing downs against the Cougars' Cover 1 and Cover 3 secondary looks.
The biggest handicap in the game is Bear Bachmeier's legs against Texas Tech's defense. The Cougars rely solely on zone read concepts, with outside zone being the more explosive.
The Texas Tech defense has dominated those concepts, producing a 65% Success Rate against outside zone and a 71% Success Rate against inside zone.
Texas Tech has faced a number of mobile quarterbacks on the schedule, limiting Utah's Devon Dampier to 27 yards on 11 carries. If an Avery Johnson explosive was removed in Week 10, the Kansas State quarterback would have been limited to 52 yards on 12 rushing attempts.
Without Martin to help run the ground game for BYU, there will be limitations to scoring for a Cougars team that ranks 60th in Finishing Drives.
Check out Collin's full Week 11 card here:
Pick: Under 52 or Better
| | | | | |
Georgia vs. Mississippi State Pick
By Stuckey
The market doesn't like this one, with Georgia taking money as the week progresses, but I really just wanted over a touchdown in the battle of the Bulldogs.
I do believe Mississippi State can keep this close, but as usual, I'll look to come in on Georgia live if Kirby Smart's bunch falls behind early. That has certainly been the case in almost every SEC game that Georgia has played this season.
After two wins to open the season over lowly Marshall and Austin Peay, UGA has faced six SEC foes that have outscored the Dawgs, 52-31, in the first quarter.
And if you remove the Kentucky game, Georgia has trailed at the end of the first quarter in each of its other five league games by a cumulative score of 52-17.
Almost every Georgia SEC game has followed the same script. It falls behind early, then Kirby does his thing as the best in-game adjuster in the sport, which helps lead his team to a come-from-behind victory.
To wit, Georgia has outscored those six opponents, 48-23, in the fourth quarter and overtime — almost a complete 180 to its first quarter differential.
I would be remiss if I didn't mention some of the calls Georgia has benefited from in SEC play.
Auburn should've led, 17-0, if not for a botched touchdown call followed by several other bogus penalties on the Tigers, which led to the head official getting indefinitely suspended.
We saw the same thing last week against Florida with a pair of game-changing calls breaking Georgia's way. It easily could've lost both of those games in addition to the overtime victory over Tennessee after the Vols missed the game-winning field goal attempt at the end of regulation. They were also on the ropes against Ole Miss until a late flurry.
This is just not your older brother's elite Georgia team, especially on defense.
Look no further than that aforementioned matchup with Tennessee. Historically, Josh Heupel's offenses get completely stuffed into a locker by Smart. Well, not this year, and Mississippi State runs a similar scheme under Jeff Lebby.
Georgia's pass rush is almost nonexistent, ranking outside the top 100 in both Pressure Rate and Sack EPA. I never thought I'd see a Georgia defense that ranks third-worst in the country in Sack Rate — ahead of only Air Force and Georgia Southern.
That will be a welcome relief for a Mississippi State offensive line that can really struggle in pass protection.
Mississippi State comes into this game with five wins, but it could easily have two or three more.
Even with a top-15 strength of schedule, the Bulldogs have been highly competitive against every opponent except for a trip to College Station in a tough situational spot. Still, even that game was just 7-3 late in the third quarter.
They've lost two games in overtime to Tennessee (thanks to a defensive touchdown) and to Texas after holding fourth-quarter leads. Plus, they threw an inexplicable last-minute interception in field-goal range in a two-point loss at Florida.
This is a real SEC team that can play with any team in the league.
Lastly, it's a potentially tricky situational spot for Georgia after an emotional rivalry win over Florida that took all 40 minutes, with a home game against Texas on deck.
Meanwhile, Mississippi State has a shot to clinch bowl eligibility, which would mark a massive step forward for a program that won two games in 2024. The Cowbells should be rocking in StarkVegas.
Until I see otherwise, I'll fade a Georgia team I believe remains overvalued as a favorite and look to back it live, especially against a team that has blown its fair share of leads this season.
Check out all of Stuckey's situational spots for Week 11 here:
Pick: Mississippi State +7.5 or Better
| | | | | |
Temple vs. Army Pick
Temple has already taken a massive step in the first season under K.C. Keeler.
The Owls are 5-4 on the year, and that record doesn’t even do the quality of play justice. They lost to Oklahoma and Georgia Tech in the nonconference and dropped a game to Navy that they dominated and should have won.
Quarterback Evan Simon has been a completely different player for the Owls. He leads the American with 21 touchdown passes and has thrown just one interception.
The running game has also been stellar with Javyon Ducker and Hunter Smith, along with Simon’s mobility.
The Department of Defense might need to increase the training at West Point, given how bad this Army team has been at preventing Explosives. The Black Knights rank 105th nationally in big plays allowed, an area the Temple offense will take advantage of.
Last week was the worst Temple has looked this season in its loss to East Carolina. The Pirates beat the Owls through the air all game, an area Army won’t be able to expose.
This is a great spot to buy low on Temple in a bounce-back spot, whereas Army is coming off a thrilling win as time expired on the road against rival Air Force.
Temple has already faced a Service Academy this season, a game it should have won against Navy. The Owls outgained the Mids by 130 yards and lost on a 50-yard touchdown run followed by a brutal missed call on the winning two-point conversion.
Check out Ianniello's full Group of 5 card for Week 11 here:
Pick: Temple +7 or Better
| | | | | |
Indiana vs. Penn State Player Prop
By Doug Ziefel
The Hoosier ascension this season has been fun to watch as it's directly correlated to the rise of quarterback Fernando Mendoza, who's the current favorite to win the Heisman Trophy.
While the Hoosiers run the ball at a very high rate, Mendoza has shown he can be remarkably efficient through the air, ranking seventh nationally in completion percentage and 11th in yards per pass.
One of the biggest beneficiaries of Mendoza's efficiency has been wide receiver Omar Cooper Jr.
Cooper has averaged just 6.3 targets per game and hauled in 81% of those. He's done damage with his volume as he's averaging 16.2 yards per reception.
Penn State's secondary has been vulnerable this season, ranking 115th nationally in completion percentage allowed and 92nd in sack rate.
As we've seen, if you give Mendoza time to throw, he will make defenses pay, and Cooper should be a big part of that in this matchup.
Pick: Omar Cooper Jr. Over 57.5 Receiving Yards
| | | | | |
James Madison vs. Marshall Pick
This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams.
Early Unranked Unders is a college football system that identifies value in early-season matchups where neither team is ranked and where offensive expectations are often overstated.
In the first 10 games of the season, unranked teams often lack the consistency and firepower of top programs, leading to sloppy execution, conservative play-calling, and a slower tempo.
The system focuses on regular-season contests with closing totals between 46 and 100, a range that signals scoring potential but often proves inflated when factoring in real game conditions.
Additional filters, such as wind speeds above 6 MPH and temperatures no higher than 66 degrees, further suppress offensive efficiency, creating an environment where scoring struggles to match market projections.
With the home spread allowed to range widely from slight underdog to heavy favorite, the system captures a broad spectrum of unranked contests where defenses or conditions keep outcomes tighter and lower-scoring than the total suggests, making the under a profitable angle.
Alonza Barnett III and the Dukes are a dangerous passing offense, but most of what they do is set up on the ground — they rank eighth nationally in rush play rate (61%).
That could be a problem against Marshall. While the Thundering Herd boast an overall poor defense, they rank in the top 20 nationally in both Rush Success Rate and EPA per Rush allowed behind a defensive line that ranks 32nd in Defensive Line Yards.
I think Marshall’s defense can hang tough with James Madison’s rushing attack, which could keep the Dukes from being too efficient through the air.
Marshall’s offense is the far stronger unit, especially behind new quarterback Carlos Del-Rio Wilson. However, I’m not sure the Herd will move the ball well against James Madison’s defense, as the Dukes rank second nationally in Success Rate allowed behind a stingy front that ranks in the top 10 in Defensive Line Yards and Havoc.
Although Marshall games have been high-scoring recently, I’m still taking the Under in a game that could be decided by defense.
Want more betting systems? Click here for a great Action PRO subscription:
Pick: Under 54 or Better
| | | | | |
Duck's Full Action App Card
Need more picks for Saturday? It's always wise to see what our guy Duck is betting on!
Additionally, if you haven't already, make sure you download the free award-winning Action Network App to track all your bets and tail all of your favorite experts:
| | | | | |
