Buccaneers vs. Panthers Odds & Betting Predictions - December 21, 2025

Somehow cashed on this last week even with TB refusing to give Rachaad White the ball! Projecting closer to 15.4 with around a 60% chance to stay under 16.5

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This is a huge game in the NFC South, and the Panthers probably need to sweep these two Bucs games now. It's another spot with big half splits if you like. Carolina is 5-9 ATS in the first half while the Bucs have a winning record, and that flips to the exact opposite after halftime. I don't trust either of these teams, so I'm investing in props instead of a side. Carolina ranks 30th by DVOA against WR1s, and that means it's Mike Evans season. He was back with a vengeance last week, catching six balls for 132 yards on 12 targets. Evans has been a Carolina killer for years. In his last 10 Panthers games, he averages 7.3 catches for 107 yards on 11.3 targets, and he's scored 11 touchdowns in those games with at least one in 7-of-10 and multiple scores three times. Since Week 5, the Panthers have allowed eight touchdowns to the top TD threat at WR in 10 games. Touchdowns are Evans' thing, so I love playing him at +185 (Fanatics) to score a TD, and we have to play two scores at +1300 (DraftKings) too. I like touchdowns better than yards since Evans' snaps are a bit limited but he's always a red zone threat. But I like yards too. Evans has gone over 55.5 yards (FanDuel) in eight of his last 10 healthy games, so I'll hit that too. And in the last 10 Carolina games, those WR1s that score a touchdown also average 93 yards in those games, while Evans is at 89+ yards in eight of his last 10 against the Panthers, so let's go with 90+ yards at +320 (FanDuel) too.

Panthers are fiesty underdogs and untrustworthy favorites, been the case all season. I think they’re the better team right now, I’ll happily back them in this race to the top of the NFC South.

Evans TD 🪜

Mike Evans anytime TD +175 at FanDuel This line is wild to me. Evans has scored at least one touchdown in 21 of 39 games (including playoffs) with Baker Mayfield as his QB. Evans came back from injury with a vengeance last week, posting a 6 catch, 132 yard performance on 12 targets. The Panthers have been a bit stingy against the WR position, but most of that is against the slot where they've allowed just 3 TDs all year to slot-aligned players, but 10 to players lined up out wide. Evans isn't going to drift into the slot all that much, especially with Chris Godwin healthy, so there shouldn't be a strong downgrade on the matchup here. I'd play this down to +135.

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Outside divisional game (***) Overall: 266-175-10,60% (ROI:17%) Season:11-12-0,48% (ROI:-9%)

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