Cowboys vs. Giants Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2026

Excited to see the No. 5 overall pick make his debut tonight. Given where the Giants need help right now, I’m expecting Reece to spend most of his time at off-ball LB initially. New DC Dennard Wilson didn’t blitz much in Tennessee, which is ideal for this market, and in a small preseason sample Reece only rushed the passer on 1 of 10 dropbacks. He looked very good in run support, and I think he’ll be a big part of slowing down Javonte Williams once he gets through the line. Dallas was also a plus matchup for LBs last year, and with the offense looking pretty similar, I’d expect that to carry over. Like most Week 1 props, there’s a wide range of outcomes here, especially with a rookie in a potentially volatile role. But I have Reece closer to 6.4 tackles + assists with around a 60% chance to clear 5.5. I was also considering DeMarvion Overshown over, who has plenty of upside tonight too. If you play on PrizePicks, you can pair Reece with Overshown Over 7.

Grabbing this week 1 stuff around key #s

Boomer’s Book

Dallas finished 5th in EPA per play and was one of four teams top-10 in both rushing and passing efficiency, with Dak 7th in EPA per dropback.The Giants had the league's worst run defense by a wide margin, were the worst team at limiting explosive runs, and then traded Dexter Lawrence. Jaxson Dart was charged with 39% of his own pressures, worst in the league, finished last in completion percentage on first reads, and will now lface a Dallas defense rebuilt at all three levels: Caleb Downs, Malachi Lawrence, Rashan Gary, Jalen Thompson, and a full season of Quinnen Williams.

An NFL 3U MAX(15-7) makes the card for the Weekend as well as an additional 2U play in the NFL. Here’s an early one of our plays that i like quite a bit as well Obviously u guys know how much I like the Cowboys this year. But they are a team that i trust way more at home and a lot of my love was reliant on more so everything going right and them booming into a top team. For this specific matchup, I’m getting 3 at home in a week 1 divisional game where dogs have printed, for a Giants team that was the unluckiest team in football last year, should be improved offensively, and off a much needed staff change. Harbaugh 12-6 ATS week 1 on top of the 10 other systems i have here. 3 or better, gotta take it

Project 2.12 for Dak and 2.77 for Dart

Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift - copy Overall: 280-197-4,59% (ROI:14%) Season:12-9-0,57% (ROI:10%) Primetime Unders Overall: 187-127-6,60% (ROI:14%) Season:9-13-1,41% (ROI:-21%) No Playoffs Unders Overall: 76-35-1,68% (ROI:33%) Season:6-4-0,60% (ROI:15%) SNF and MNF Unders Overall: 98-61-2,62% (ROI:18%) Season:4-9-0,31% (ROI:-41%) Night Time Unders Overall: 149-87-2,63% (ROI:21%) Season:16-15-1,52% (ROI:-2%) Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift Overall: 395-286-8,58% (ROI:12%) Season:19-12-0,61% (ROI:17%) #TSA

@DougKezirian https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-week-1-betting-preview/id1004530793?i=1000788564665

@KendraMiddleton_ @BKPicks https://www.youtube.com/live/yZLKdLaBoCA?is=xKsvDppRHPlsVpBZ

#TeamMjayRoyal

.25u on 50% boost for SNF .05u on +160

@The_Oddsmaker https://open.spotify.com/episode/0FRCvBCOjsMbSyaB9McQxr?si=qion2LxCRuqOsRTD66bmrg&utm_source=copy-link

Williams faces a Giants line without Dexter Lawrence and has very little competition in the backfield either.

@The_Oddsmaker https://www.youtube.com/live/rmDj16Ak_rs?is=_BhFd9HeUh9fVv17