Jets vs. Patriots Odds & Betting Predictions - November 14, 2025

1.91% ev play to -102

X: PicksOffice

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Luck Rankings

I have this about 16-1 as fair both from Maye and Sherwood's perspectives Maye a 33% chance of an INT today and 3/15 career INTs going to MLB Sherwood has 9 passes defended in roughly equivalent of 30 full games of snaps. 0 INTs but that's a bit unlucky. Should have closer to 2 INTs on 9 PD. Would play to 20-1

@shadybiev tail

BetMGM

THE BLITZ is forecasting 2.10 receptions for Arian Smith. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 1.55 receptions, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 54% of the time resulting in a 33% ROI with expected value of $33.26 (based on a $100 wager). (This play is good down to at least +111.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Action Instagram channel best bet - let’s ride 🚀

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Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

If you are on PrizePicks, can pair this with Jaylin Hawkins Under 4.5 tackles. Have to post this one now because there’s no way this number would have survived by tomorrow morning. Williams was benched for Fransisco Mauigoa last week, there was one problem though…Mauigoa wasn’t able to suit up due to remaining in the concussion protocol so Williams ended up playing his usual full time role and racked up 7 tackles. However, Mauigoa was cleared to play for TNF so we could see Williams play anywhere from 0-85% of snaps. Even if I project him for 100% of the snaps (worst case scenario) I’m projecting him to stay under this around 55% of the time. But if he only plays 50% of the snaps? It would be like a 75-80% chance he stays under if not higher. There is a wide range of outcomes here but it all favors his floor/under. I realize some people are confused by my 0.5u baseline this season (I’ve explained numerous time it has nothing to do with confidence…this would be a multi unit play but you can only get so much down on tackle props so that would be a cheap way of handling tracking purposes, but just know this is a very very confident under)

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