Vikings vs. Buccaneers Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2026

Boomer’s Book

This feels like a pretty clear overreaction to what we’ve seen through the first two weeks. Addison opened the season with a 41.5-yard line and was at 39.5 last week, and now we’re down to 31.5 after two games with Carson Wentz. The Vikings had just 11 completions in Week 2 and 12 in Week 1, while the line for Kyler this week sits at 19.5. I’m expecting a much better environment this week against Tampa Bay. The Bucs have been very attackable through the air, and their defense has been more of a pass-funnel under Todd Bowles. The return of Kyler Murray is a big piece for me as well. I don't need Addison to suddenly become a massive target hog. I just need competent quarterback play and a normal number of passing opportunities, and I think those two things alone give him a much better chance of clearing 31.5. Murray has cleared the concussion protocol and is expected to start Sunday. The backfield situation could also push Minnesota toward the passing game. Jordan Mason is already on IR, and Aaron Jones is now dealing with a knee injury after handling 23 carries last week. Jones did not practice Wednesday, so there is at least some uncertainty around how much Minnesota will be able to rely on the run. Most importantly, I like the role. Addison ran 23 of 24 routes last week, so the issue isn't playing time or involvement in the offense. It's been the lack of passing production. His current season line is only two catches for 21 yards, but I think the market is pricing that production rather than the underlying usage. I don't need a huge game from Addison here. If Kyler gives this offense competent quarterback play, Minnesota throws a normal number of passes, and Addison continues to run virtually every route, 33 yards is a pretty low bar. This is mostly a bet on the market overcorrecting for two ugly passing performances. @everyone

Brandon’s playground Week 3 bets

Fade the ATS Streak 2.0 Overall: 302-217-15,58% (ROI:13%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:-4%) #TSA

@wheatonbrando https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-betting-playground-week-3/id1004530793?i=1000791577819

There may be some value on the rush attempts prop for Aaron Jones Sr.. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 17.21 rush attempts, and the oddsmakers are implying 13.56. The model believes there is a 65% chance he records at least 13.5 rush attempts, so there is value on the over at +120. This play is good down to at least -132. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

@GDAWG5000 https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/nfl-touchdown-show-week-3/id1004530793?i=1000791547972