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2022 NFL Playoff Predictions: Simulating Divisional Round Through Super Bowl For Packers, Chiefs, Bucs, More

2022 NFL Playoff Predictions: Simulating Divisional Round Through Super Bowl For Packers, Chiefs, Bucs, More article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Rodgers, Josh Allen, Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes (left to right)

The Divisional Round of the 2022 NFL playoffs is upon us, which means Super Bowl LVI is just around the corner!

The matchups are set: Saturday will feature Bengals vs. Titans (kickoff 4:30 ET) and 49ers vs. Packers (kickoff 8:15 ET), while Sunday will feature Rams vs. Buccaneers (kickoff 3 p.m. ET) and Bills vs. Chiefs (kickoff 6:30 p.m. ET).

Our Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner put his team ratings — which play a part in powering our consensus NFL PRO Projections — to the test ahead of the Divisional Round, simulating the postseason to project the results of each subsequent round.

We’ve detailed every team’s projected chances to advance to each round and win the 2022 Super Bowl (check our Super Bowl odds tracker here) at SoFi Stadium in Los Angeles based on Koerner’s simulations below.

Let’s dive right in.

NFL Playoff Projections

1. Tennessee Titans (1 Seed)

  • Advance to AFC Championship: 55.8%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 18.6%
  • Win Super Bowl: 8.1%

2. Kansas City Chiefs (2 Seed)

  • Advance to AFC Championship: 57.8%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 39.2%
  • Win Super Bowl: 21.3%

3. Buffalo Bills (3 Seed)

  • Advance to AFC Championship: 42.2%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 30.2%
  • Win Super Bowl: 15.6%

4. Cincinnati Bengals (4 Seed)

  • Advance to AFC Championship: 44.2%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 12.0%
  • Win Super Bowl: 2.5%


1. Green Bay Packers (1 Seed)

  • Advance to NFC Championship: 68.6%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 44.3%
  • Win Super Bowl: 24.2%

2. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2 Seed)

  • Advance to NFC Championship: 61.2%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 27.4%
  • Win Super Bowl: 15.3%

3. Los Angeles Rams (4 Seed)

  • Advance to NFC Championship: 38.8%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 15.2%
  • Win Super Bowl: 7.2%

4. San Francisco 49ers (6 Seed)

  • Advance to NFC Championship: 31.4%
  • Advance to Super Bowl: 13.1%
  • Win Super Bowl: 5.8%
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