Chargers vs Ravens Best Bets: 3 Props & Picks for Sunday Night Football
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The NFL Week 12 Sunday slate concludes at SoFi Stadium, and we have Chargers vs Ravens best bets, props, picks for Sunday Night Football.
The Chargers vs Ravens spread for SNF has Baltimore as 3-point favorites with a game total over/under in the range of 48.5 to 49.5, depending on the book. We have one betting analyst who is on the Ravens to cover the spread, plus an over/under pick and Rashod Bateman player prop.
Our staff of NFL analysts are all over this game with this SNF betting preview. Here are our three Chargers vs Ravens best bets.
Chargers vs Ravens Best Bets: Props & Picks
Our staff has you covered in every betting market with our Chargers vs Ravens best bets for Sunday Night Football. We have NFL SNF picks for the spread and total, and a Rashod Bateman player prop.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
| 8:20 p.m. | ||
| 8:20 p.m. | ||
| 8:20 p.m. | ||
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
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Chargers vs Ravens Odds
| Chargers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+3 +100 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | +150 |
| Ravens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-3 -120 | 48.5 -110o / -110u | -170 |
Chargers vs. Ravens
There's no question about which unit is the weakest on the field Sunday night. It's the Chargers defense, and it's not close. Baltimore's defense has its flaws but has been outstanding overall and should stymie LA's rushing attack while holding its own against Justin Herbert.
The Ravens' offense might also do anything it wants against a Chargers defense that hasn't stopped anyone all season.
The Chargers rank in the bottom quarter of the league by DVOA against both the run and the pass, and Baltimore is the No. 1 DVOA rushing attack — and lately, it hasn't even been close. Over the past six weeks, Baltimore's rushing DVOA metric is double No. 2 and quadruple No. 3. Whether it's Lamar Jackson's speed or Gus Edwards' power, the Ravens are built to run over, around and through the Chargers.
For most teams, all those receiver injuries would be a major concern. For Baltimore, it might just push the Ravens even more toward what they do best — run the ball down opponents' throats. The Chargers are last in the league defensively by DVOA in the first half, so Baltimore has a great opportunity to get out early and play its game.
On paper, this feels like a great spot to back a home team that's lost a lot of close, unlucky games with a great passing attack and a quarterback who can always get through the back door or pull out the win late. However, L.A. has no home-field advantage, and games aren't played on paper.
Pick: Ravens -3 (-110)
Chargers vs. Ravens
The Chargers have no choice but to rely almost entirely on the passing game to move the ball. Their rushing attack with Austin Ekeler is not getting the job done – out of 31 qualifying backs, Ekeler is in the bottom five in both Explosive Run Rate and Success Rate.
As a result, the Chargers will have issues tonight against a Ravens defense that ranks second in the NFL in Adjusted Sack Rate. The Ravens have the top defense in the league by yards per play allowed (4.2) and also allow a league-low 5.5 yards per pass attempt. Justin Herbert faces quite the challenge against a Ravens defense surrendering a touchdown on only 10% of possessions, which is also the lowest rate in the NFL.
I am expecting a somewhat inspired defensive performance from the Chargers with Brandon Staley's job likely on the line. More importantly, Lamar Jackson will not have a fully healthy group of pass catchers at his disposal. Zay Flowers is working through a hip injury but will likely suit up at less than 100%, Odell Beckham is a true game-time decision, and Mark Andrews suffered a major injury last week.
Expect another primetime slog of a game, as I am in disagreement with the line movement on this total; I will gladly take an even better line now than what was available earlier in the week.
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Chargers vs. Ravens
By Matt Trebby
Bateman has set new season highs in snap percentage in each of the last two weeks. He played 74% of snaps against the Browns in Week 10 then 77% last week on Thursday Night Football against the Bengals.
Bateman didn’t go over this reception total in either of those games, but the underlying metrics are positive enough for us to back him.
In addition to that, there’s reason to believe Bateman will be a key beneficiary from TE Mark Andrews’ absence. Of Bateman’s 31 targets this season, 16 of them have been within nine yards of the line of scrimmage. Any short-yardage routes and targets that Andrews was running or receiving could go Bateman’s way. It’s more likely that his role grows than Isaiah Likely enters and takes over all of Andrews’ workload immediately.
Sean Koerner has Bateman projected for three receptions, while Chris Raybon has him pegged for 2.7. At worst, this is a coin flip, so we’ll take the plus number.
Pick: Rashod Bateman Over 2.5 Receptions (+120)
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