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Cowboys vs Eagles Picks: Our Best Bet for Sunday Night Football

Cowboys vs Eagles Picks: Our Best Bet for Sunday Night Football article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Micah Parsons (left) and Jalen Hurts.

Cowboys vs. Eagles Odds

Sunday, Oct. 16
8:20 p.m. ET
NBC
Cowboys Odds +6.5 (-104)
Eagles Odds -6.5 (-118)
Moneyline +245 / -300
Over/Under 42.5 (-106 / -114)
Odds via FanDuel.


Bet Cowboys vs. Eagles at FanDuel
Cowboys +6.5 | Eagles -6.5


The NFC East is up for grabs in Week 6 when the Eagles host the Cowboys on Sunday Night Football.

That’s not something most people would’ve expected to read after Dallas’ Week 1 nightmare against the Buccaneers. Dak Prescott got hurt, and Tampa Bay took care of business on the road.

Since then, Cooper Rush is 4-0 as the Cowboys’ starting QB. The Eagles are also unbeaten, but they’re 5-0 compared to Dallas’ 4-1.

Two of our betting analysts have identified their favorite pick for this big-time matchup, and it’s the same bet on the total.

Cowboys vs. Eagles Picks

Click on a pick to skip ahead
Anderson: Game Total
LanFranca: Game Total

Pick
Under 42.5
Best Book
Time
4:05 p.m. ET

Brandon Anderson: We waited on injury news for both teams in this one, and it’s been all one-way traffic.

Philadelphia took every one of its four banged up offensive linemen off the injury report, so the league’s best O-line should be good to go against Micah Parsons and the best pass rush in the league.

That is assuming Parsons actually plays. He’s been limited by a groin injury, and if the Defensive Player of the Year favorite is not himself, that would be a huge loss.

We also confirmed another week out for Dak Prescott, which means another start for Cooper Rush. He’s 5-0 now, both SU and ATS, but he’s never faced a defense like this. His favorite target (CeeDee Lamb) is also a question mark, and don’t forget LT Tyron Smith is out.


QuickSlip: Cowboys-Eagles Under 42.5


That’s arguably four of the Cowboys’ five most talented players limited or out at the wrong time, on the road against the league’s last unbeaten team. You have to like the Eagles here and maybe a reality check on the Rush hype.

That said, I’m not confident Philly can hang a huge number on Dallas. This is a big step up in defensive quality for the Eagles after facing the league’s second-softest defensive schedule so far. Dallas has yet to surrender 20 points in a game, averaging just 14.4 PPG allowed.

All five Dallas games have finished at 39 points or below, and three Philly games are at 37 or below. Primetime unders are now 12-5 on the season.

I like under 42.5. Both defenses are playing well, and both offenses are playing through key injuries.


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Pick
Under 42.5 (play to 41)
Best Book
Time
4:05 p.m. ET

John LanFranca: We have two of the top defenses going to battle in a divisional primetime game. It’s hard to fathom a better spot to play the under.

The Eagles and Cowboys are the 5th and 6th ranked defenses according to DVOA, respectively. If there is a small weakness in each, it’s the ability to stop the run, as neither squad ranks in the top half of the NFL in rush defense DVOA.

I expect both teams to come out with a conservative offensive gameplan that tests the opposing run defense, all the while limiting attempts by Cooper Rush against the Eagles’ elite secondary and curbing the dropbacks of Jalen Hurts versus the Cowboys’ devastating pass rush.

No team has scored 20 points against the Cowboys thus far in 2022, and the Eagles will struggle to reach this threshold as well if their offensive line is not fully healthy.

On the other side of the ball, the Cowboys offense ranks 30th in the rate of drives in which they have reached the red zone or scored from outside the 20-yard line (22.8% of offensive drives). This game is a rock fight in the making.


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