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Falcons vs Seahawks Odds, Picks, Prediction

Falcons vs Seahawks Odds, Picks, Prediction article feature image
Credit:

John McCoy/Getty Images. Pictured: Marcus Mariota.

  • Falcons vs. Seahawks is almost a pick'em in Week 3.
  • Atlanta is 0-2 but has covered the spread in both losses.
  • Blake Krass breaks down the matchup and makes his pick below.

Falcons vs. Seahawks Odds

Sunday, Sept. 25
4:25 p.m. ET
FOX

Falcons Odds +1
Seahawks Odds -1
Moneyline -102 / -116
Over/Under 43.5
Time Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET
TV FOX
Odds via FanDuel.

The Falcons head to Seattle looking for their first win of the season. The Seahawks are coming off a tough loss to the 49ers after their Week 1 triumph over Russell Wilson and the Broncos.

Atlanta needs to translate its production into points while Seattle’s defense will look to start getting some stops. The Falcons have underperformed but have been surprisingly competitive thus far this season, and it’s fair to say the Seahawks are lucky to have a win under their belt.

If Marcus Mariota can limit his mistakes, the Falcons should be able to score enough points to get their first win. On the other side, Geno Smith will need to turn his accuracy into explosive plays to keep the Seahawks in the game.

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Falcons vs. Seahawks Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Falcons and Seahawks match up statistically:

Falcons vs. Seahawks DVOA Breakdown
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 12 25
Pass DVOA 11 30
Rush DVOA 13 9
Offense
Defense
Edge
Overall DVOA 21 14
Pass DVOA 18 18
Rush DVOA 28 28

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=p42DCKycTPk

The Seahawks’ run game has been non-existent through two weeks. They are currently 28th in offensive rush DVOA, but will get an opportunity to exploit a soft Falcons rush defense. In the passing game, Smith has gotten praise for his consistent play; however, he has yet to top 200 passing yards in a game as the Seahawks rank last in the NFL in yards per completion (7.6).

The Falcons are a respectable 16th at 10.4 yards per completion. They have much more capability to pull off the explosive play and that could be the difference-maker here.

Betting Picks

The Falcons are 2-0 ATS this season with close losses to two good teams (Saints and Rams).  Meanwhile, the Seahawks were on the right side of terrible coaching and turnover luck in Week 1 and followed it up with a weak performance in Week 2.

The Falcons are the better team overall and the Seahawks don’t have the personnel to exploit their weaknesses. The Falcons will utilize the explosive play to take care of business against Seattle.

Atlanta’s offense is very underrated while the Seahawks still have a higher public perception because of their fluke win over Denver. The Falcons should be able to go on the road and pick up their first win of the season.

FanDuel Quickslip: Falcons +1 | Bet to Falcons -2.5

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