Jets vs. Colts Betting Odds & Pick: How To Invest In Indy On Sunday
Andy Lyons/Getty Images. Pictured: Mo Alie-Cox.
Jets vs. Colts Betting Odds
The Jets are not very good. I’m sorry you had to find out this way.
New York has been disastrous. The Jets rank dead last in every power rankings in the universe (including our experts’ betting power ratings), and they deserve to. The Jets have trailed 21-3 in both their games. They’ve scored a whopping 16 points in non-garbage time. It’s ugly.
It was ugly for Indianapolis in Week 1, too, losing to Jacksonville. But the Colts bounced back with a dominant win over the Vikings. Now Indianapolis is the biggest favorite on the board in Week 3. Can the Jets change things up?
New York Jets
Can you play running back or receiver? If so, you might qualify for the Jets lineup this week.
New York is missing Le’Veon Bell, Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman, Denzel Mims and just about any other receiver you’ve heard of. The Jets are also short starting tackle George Fant. Can I interest you in Frank Gore and Chris Hogan? That’s who New York will be relying on this week.
The Jets rank 30th in passing yards, 31st in rushing, 32nd in first downs and 31st in points scored. There are 32 NFL teams, in case you forgot.
The Jets defense isn’t much prettier. They’re not the walking dead, but they lost Jamal Adams and C.J. Mosley this offseason, and it’s clear the team won’t be good on that end. New York gave up an 80-yard touchdown on the first play against San Francisco in Week 2 and before that let Josh Allen light them up in Week 1.
The defense overall has been more bad than terrible, especially considering the rough spot their offense has left them in, but they certainly aren’t good.
The Jets are the worst team in the NFL, and right now it’s no contest.
Many people panicked on the Colts after that Jaguars lost, but I doubled down on one of my favorite 2020 sleeper teams. That was a fluke loss for Indianapolis. The Colts nearly doubled the Jaguars in yardage and dominated on both sides of the ball but had four turnovers (two on downs) and went 2-for-5 in the red zone and blew a close game. It happens.
Last week was a much better representation of what this team can be at its best. The Colts totally dominated a very talented Vikings team. They scored 28 unanswered points and allowed Minnesota into the end zone only in garbage time, doubling the Vikings in yardage and first downs and nearly doubling them up on time of possession too.
The Colts have one of the league’s best offensive lines and unleashed rookie Jonathan Taylor last week with Marlon Mack out for the season. Taylor responded with his first 100-yard game and a touchdown.
The Colts defense forced three turnovers and limited the Vikings to just three first downs between a first-drive field goal and that final garbage-time drive.
It was a total, all-encompassing win.
Indianapolis may not have flashy stars, but the Colts are well-coached and have a deep, strong all-around roster. The Jets are no match for this team.
The Colts opened around a touchdown favorite and have seen that line rise all week long. It’s at -11.5 as of Saturday evening, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see it push 13 or 14 by kickoff. The Jets are really bad. The Colts are pretty good. There’s little question who will win this game.
Unfortunately, it’s always tough to bet on a margin that high. The implied game right now is Colts 27, Jets 16. Indianapolis could easily dominate this game wire to wire, lead 27-9 late, give up a meaningless touchdown, and blow the cover. Since the Colts don’t have an explosive offense, covering a line this high is pretty risky.
I don’t love the Jets cover, either, for obvious reasons. But there are other ways we can find value on the Colts.
The first is making Indianapolis an anchor in a teaser. At -11.5, a six-point teaser moves us past the key numbers of 10, 7 and 6. Now the Colts only have to win by a touchdown, and that feels like a pretty safe bet. Pairing the Colts with other favorites like the Patriots, Bucs or Browns — who are all around 6- to 7-point favorites — could leave a nice payday.
For just this game, I prefer avoiding the garbage time nonsense and keeping this simple: I’m grabbing Colts -6.5 in the first half.
Indianapolis is a no-nonsense team. The Colts are going to put a bad team away early and lead by a touchdown at the half, and now I don’t have to worry about a backdoor cover. Only five teams had more halftime leads than the Colts the last five years. Indianapolis doesn’t always hold up for 48 minutes, so why bank on it?
I’ll play Colts -6.5 first half to -150 — or at -7 if I must — and I’m definitely throwing them into a couple teasers, too.
PICK: Colts 1H -6.5 (up to -7)