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Chiefs-Raiders Betting Preview: Will KC Fail to Cover Again as Massive Favorites?

Dec 02, 2018 2:00 PM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Andy Reid, Jon Gruden

Betting odds: Kansas City Chiefs at Oakland Raiders

  • Spread: Chiefs -14.5
  • Over/Under: 55.5
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: Bettors don’t care what the line is, they’re going to bet the Chiefs.

K.C. is getting nearly 80% of bets as 14.5-point road favorites against the lowly Raiders at the time of writing (see live data here).

If the line were -20, I bet the Chiefs would still get more than 60% of bets. There’s been some sharp action on the Raiders, but not enough to push the line to 14 yet.

Over/under bets are relatively split, but nearly 70% of the money is on the under. This cash flow has dropped the total from 56 to 55.5. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Road favorites of 10 or more points have gone 4-0 against the spread in 2018. I wouldn’t expect that small-sample-size trend to continue.

From 2003-17, double-digit road favorites were 28-45 ATS. John Ewing

The Chiefs are fifth team to be favored by 2+ TDs on the road in a divisional game since 2000.

The previous four teams went 4-0 straight-up and ATS, covering the spread by an average of 12 points. Evan Abrams