If you want more Action Network content, be sure to add us as a preferred source on Google.
The Kansas City Chiefs (5-0) and Seattle Seahawks (3-3) will face off in NFL Week 7. Kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. EDT from Lumen Field in Seattle, WA, Wash. The game will broadcast live on NBC/Peacock.
The Seahawks are favored by -2.5 with the over/under set at 42.5 total points. Seahawks is a -146 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Chiefs is a +121 underdog to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Chiefs vs Seahawks predictions for Sunday Night Football.
Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction
- Chiefs vs Seahawks pick: Seahawks -2.5 (bet to -125)
My Chiefs vs Seahawks best bet is Seattle the cover the spread. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Download the Action Network app now for more NFL picks and analysis!
Chiefs vs Seahawks Odds
| Chiefs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+2.5 -102 | 42.5 -108o / -112u | +124 |
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-2.5 -120 | 42.5 -108o / -112u | -146 |
- Chiefs vs Seahawks Moneyline: Chiefs +124, Seahawks -146
- Chiefs vs Seahawks Total: 42.5
- Chiefs vs Seahawks Spread: Chiefs +2.5 (-102), Seahawks -2.5 (-120)
Chiefs vs Seahawks Sunday Night Football Preview
Seahawks Preview: Will Seattle Get Burned By Kenneth Walker?
We have an absolute banger on Sunday night as the defending Super Bowl champion Seahawks host the Chiefs, who are one of three undefeated teams headed into Week 7.
It's been a rocky start for Seattle, which sits at 3-3 on the season. Why have things not gone as smoothly in 2026? The special teams haven't been quite as dominant, but all of the issues have come on the offensive side of the ball.
Last season, the Seahawks finished 10th in Offensive DVOA (ninth including the postseason) to go along with top-two rankings on defense and special teams. This season, they have fallen all the way to 24th.
So, what has gone wrong?
Well, you can start by looking on the opposing sidelines tonight, where Kenneth Walker III will be donning red, gold, and white. Without Walker, Seattle's rushing attack has offered no help to the offense. It also hasn't helped that Zach Charbonnet remains sidelined due to injury along with first-round draft pick Jadarian Price.
Through seven weeks, the Seahawks rank 30th in Rush EPA and 21st in success rate. Now, people tend to forget that Seattle didn't have an overly dominant ground game during the regular season in 2025. It ranked just 22nd and 23rd in those respective categories last year. With that said, it's even worse this season and Walker's explosive playmaking ability is noticeably absent.
That has had an impact on how defenses are playing Seattle, which also misses the playcalling of Klint Kubiak, who is now head coach of the Raiders. The Seahawks' entire operation and sequencing just isn't as smooth under new offensive coordinator Brian Fleury, who might find himself on the hot seat in the near future if things don't turn around.
The bigger drop-off statistically has come in the passing attack.
Last season, the Seahawks finished the regular season ranked eighth in passing EPA and fourth in success rate. Through seven weeks this season, those rankings have dropped precipitously to 19th and 18th, respectively. And it's not just Sam Darnold turnovers — remember he led the league in those last year.
The playcalling and decrease in productivity have led to a severe decline in efficiency on early downs (from eighth to 18th in success rate), which have put Darnold in more known passing situations on third downs, which is not where he excels. Opposing defenses are also playing a significantly higher percentage of cloud coverages to focus all of their attention on limiting Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
In summary, Seattle's struggles this season are a combination of offseason changes leading to a decrease in productivity, in addition to adjustments by opposing defenses.
There's absolutely nothing wrong with the defense despite some offseason attrition in the secondary. Head coach Mike Macdonald's stop unit ranks second in overall DVOA with top-two marks against both the run and the pass.
Seattle has been a bit unlucky in the red zone — it has allowed the third-highest touchdown rate (78.57%) inside the 20 through seven weeks despite allowing the fewest percentages of drives to reach that area of the field. That's a highly volatile metric with a lot of variance over short sample sizes, so I'd expect plenty of opponent field goals inside the 20 over the coming weeks as that number should trend toward the 50% TD rate Seattle allowed last season.
That's also where Kansas City's defense sat last year, but the Chiefs actually rank second in the NFL at 33.33%, so don't be surprised if that looming regression on both sides works in Seattle's favor tonight, which could ultimately decide this game.
Chiefs Preview: Taking Advantage of a Favorable Schedule
Let's shift gears and take a closer at the undefeated Chiefs.
Kansas City's offense has completely transformed with the addition of Kenneth Walker. Head coach Andy Reid finally has a dominant rushing attack with an explosive element that has been lacking for years.
Through seven weeks, the Chiefs rank first in rush EPA and third in success rate after finishing below average in both categories a season ago. That has made life so much easier on Patrick Mahomes.
This is now a well-balanced offense that top defenses will struggle to contain with the threat of Walker in the backfield. With that said, the Chiefs have faced a very easy schedule of opposing defense thus far.
In Week 1, they performed admirably against the Broncos, but Denver certainly helped matters with one of the worst tackling performances we've seen over the past decade. Since that opener, the Chiefs have faced the Dolphins, Colts, Chargers, and Raiders. That's not exactly a murderer's row of defenses, so Seattle will be a major step up in class with some key injuries at wide receiver and offensive tackle.
On the other side of the ball, Kansas City's defense has played well to date, especially against the run (second in success rate). The pass defense has been a little more vulnerable, and I still have major questions about that group after some of the offseason departures in the secondary.
They certainly haven't been tested so far against Daniel Jones, Bo Nix, Malik Willis, and Justin Herbert. The one decent offense they've faced at full strength was Las Vegas with Kirk Cousins at the helm. The Raiders put up 437 yards of total offense and scored 27 points.
Now, you could argue Sam Darnold and the current iteration of this Seahawks offense fits in the former category, but it's inarguable K.C.'s defense has benefited from an extremely friendly slate of opposing offenses to date, in addition to the aforementioned good fortune in the red zone.
It's still a Steve Spagnuolo-led defense, so you can still expect a high floor, but this back end may look a bit more vulnerable as the schedule difficulty ramps up.
Chiefs vs Seahawks Prediction, Betting Analysis
Despite all of Seattle's offensive woes at the moment, it is arguably a few plays away from a perfect 6-0 start. Just take a look at its three losses, which have come by a combined eight points:
- Week 3: lost 33-31 at Washington (+2.8 net yards per play; 437-258 yards advantage, but -3 turnover margin and both fourth downs went against them)
- Week 5: lost 32-29 vs. San Francisco (huge late wide-open drop by JSN; gave up 21 points on 18 total yards in first half due to turnovers)
- Week 6: lost 17-14 at Denver in OT (+1.4 net yards per play; 353-168 yards advantage, but -3 turnover margin again)
Meanwhile, the Chiefs have a pair of three-point victories (over the Colts in OT and Raiders) that could've gone either way.
This is a classic buy-low, sell-high spot.
It's certainly scary backing Sam Darnold as a favorite against Patrick Mahomes (the God underdog), but give me the Seahawks laying under a field goal at home with extra rest and prep against a Chiefs team that has played one of — if not — the easiest schedule in the NFL to date.
Seattle can lean into its heavy personnel formations to set up play-action (which K.C. has struggled to defend the past two seasons) and get just enough splash plays from Jaxon Smith-Njigba to get this done against a beat up Chiefs offense that I don't believe will have much success on the ground with Kenneth Walker III against one of the league's most dominant rush defenses.
That will make life difficult on Patrick Mahomes, who will have to make do with backup offensive tackles and a decimated wide receiver corps. That's not a promising outlook in a hostile environment against Mike Macdonald's defense.
There's also some underlying regression that may work in Seattle's favor. I mentioned the red zone, but there are other luck factors in play as well.
Seattle's opponents have gone a perfect 7-for-7 on fourth down, while the Seahawks have gone just 3-for-7. Conversely, Kansas City's opponents have converted just 4-of-12 fourth-down attempts. The Chiefs have also enjoyed some good fortune on fumbles, losing only one of five of their won, while recovering four of six opposing loose balls.
I'm calling my shot now: Kansas City gets stopped in the red zone on a fourth-down attempt (or at least settles for a bunch of field goals), which ends up being a major swing in the game. I like Seattle to get it done at home in a great spot and matchup, especially given the Chiefs' offensive injuries.
Pick: Seahawks -2.5 (up to -125)
