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Divisional Round Betting Market: Return of the NFL Trendy Dog

Jan 09, 2019 8:53 PM EST
Credit:

Brad Penner-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Dak Prescott.

  • Last week, all four underdogs covered and three won straight up, causing bettors to get back on the trendy underdog wagon.
  • All four dogs are receiving the majority of spread bets this week, led by the Chargers at 63% of bets vs. the Patriots (1:05 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS.)
  • Three of the four dogs are getting more than 60% of the money, too, with the exception being the Cowboys (42%) at the Rams (8:15 p.m. ET Saturday, FOX.)

Bye bye college football season, hello NFL season. Oh wait, there’s just seven NFL games left, too

Last weekend, all four underdogs covered, and three won straight up. Three of those dogs had the majority of spread bets, and the one that didn’t still had 49%. Based on the early betting market this week, it seems like folks are expecting dog dominance to continue.

Here’s what has happened since lines opened for the four divisional round matchups.

Indianapolis Colts @ Kansas City Chiefs

Saturday at 4:35 p.m. ET
Channel: NBC

Spread: Chiefs -5

The Colts looked great against Houston and have looked great, period, over the past couple of months. They’ve done enough to convince 56% of bettors, who are responsible for 66% of dollars, to bet on them.

The Chiefs opened at -4 and reached -6 relatively quickly, but have since dropped back to -5. Kind of an inconsequential number, but I’m still surprised the majority of bettors are taking Indy even though it’s not getting seven points.

Kansas City was a pretty darn good and buzzworthy team this season, but then again, bettors are all about what happened recently.

Over/under: 57

At 57, this over/under is practically 10 points higher than the Colts-Texans game last week. Money has driven it up that high as it opened at 55.5. Sixty-eight percent of bets are taking the over, and 82% of the money likes the points as well.

Dallas Cowboys @ Los Angeles Rams

Saturday at 8:15 p.m. ET
Channel: FOX

Spread: Rams -7