Ranking NFL Pick’Em Picks For Straight Up & ATS Pools: Titans, Bucs, Browns Have Highest Win Probabilities
Silas Walker/Getty Images. Pictured: Ryan Tannehill #17 of the Tennessee Titans celebrates a touchdown with teammates
- Locking in your NFL pick'em picks for Week 11? Our expert uses his latest power ratings to rank options for straight up and ATS pools.
- The Titans, Bucs and Browns have the highest outright win probabilities of the week. Find out which teams have the highest cover probabilities below.
To help you make your NFL pick'em picks this week, I've ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options by confidence below — please consider this early-week iteration more of way to prepare your pick’em picks.
These rankings are based on my power ratings, which help power our NFL PRO Projections — they account for various factors such as injuries and travel.
I'll update these rankings before Sunday's games kickoff, so be sure to bookmark this story and check it again that morning — especially since I’ll be able to better grasp what spreads I like by then. I'll also reveal which spread and over/under edges I'm betting then, which my editor will link within this story, but you can also follow me in the Action app for notifications about any picks I track there.
NFL Pick'Em Picks: Week 11
| Conf | Team | Opp | Win Prob% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Titans | vs. HOU | 83% |
| 2 | Buccaneers | vs. NYG | 82% |
| 3 | Browns | vs. DET | 80% |
| 4 | Bills | vs. IND | 76% |
| 5 | Ravens | @ CHI | 74% |
| 6 | 49ers | @ JAX | 72% |
| 7 | Patriots | @ ATL | 71% |
| 8 | Dolphins | @ NYJ | 67% |
| 9 | Chargers | vs. PIT | 63% |
| 10 | Panthers | vs. WAS | 60% |
| 11 | Packers | @ MIN | 57% |
| 12 | Cardinals | @ SEA | 56% |
| 13 | Chiefs | vs. DAL | 54% |
| 14 | Eagles | vs. NO | 50% |
| 14 | Saints | @ PHI | 50% |
| 14 | Raiders | vs. CIN | 50% |
| 14 | Bengals | @ LV | 50% |
| 18 | Cowboys | @ KC | 46% |
| 19 | Seahawks | vs. ARI | 44% |
| 20 | Vikings | vs. GB | 43% |
| 21 | Football Team | @ CAR | 40% |
| 22 | Steelers | @ LAC | 37% |
| 23 | Jets | vs. MIA | 33% |
| 24 | Falcons | vs. NE | 29% |
| 25 | Jaguars | vs. SF | 28% |
| 26 | Bears | vs. BAL | 26% |
| 27 | Colts | @ BUF | 24% |
| 28 | Lions | @ CLE | 20% |
| 29 | Giants | @ TB | 18% |
| 30 | Texans | @ TEN | 17% |
NFL ATS Picks: Week 11
I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.
Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.
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