The Washington Commanders (3-5) host the Seattle Seahawks (5-2) tonight on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff from Northwest Stadium in Landover, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. SNF will broadcast live NBC.
Seahawks vs Commanders odds list the Seahawks as -148 moneyline favorites and Commanders as +124 underdogs. The game total is 48.5 points (-105o / -115u). The Seahawks are -2.5 favorites on the spread over the Commanders (Seahawks -2.5; -120).
Below, you can find our Seahawks vs Commanders picks and Sunday Night Football best bets, which include predictions for the spread, game total and player props for Jacory Croskey-Merritt, AJ Barner and Elijah Arroyo.
Seahawks vs Commanders Picks & Player Props
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Seahawks vs Commanders Odds, Lines
| Seahawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
-2.5 -120 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | -148 |
| Commanders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Over/Under | Moneyline |
+2.5 +100 | 48.5 -105o / -115u | +124 |
Sunday Night Football odds via DraftKings
Seahawks vs Commanders Spread Prediction
By Billy Ward
According to our Week 9 NFL Luck Rankings, the Commanders are the third-unluckiest team in all of football.
That only factors in on-field happenings, and doesn’t consider the fact that Jayden Daneils has missed effectively 3 1/2 games, with Washington going 1-3 in those contests. To put it another way, the Commanders are 3-5 overall, but 2-2 in games that Daniels played all four quarters.
Daniels is back tonight, though he still doesn’t have star wide receiver Terry McLaurin. Still, Daniels alone gives the Commanders offense plenty of juice, and he’ll have Deebo Samuel and the rest of the Commanders' secondary options available.
That should be enough to at least keep things close against a Seahawks team traveling across three time zones for a night game in Washington.
With the line moving past the key number of 3, all the way to 3.5 at ESPNBet, I’ll take the home team and the points.
Pick: Commanders +3.5 (-130)
Editor's Note: The line has moved to +2.5 or +3 depending on the sportsbook; +3.5 is still available as an alternate line.
Seahawks vs Commanders Over/Under Pick
The Seahawks are allowing just 1.6 yards per drive this season, which is good for third-best in the NFL. Their defensive line depth is outstanding — seven players have generated 12 or more pressures.
If Commanders left tackle Laremy Tunsil is not at 100% or misses this game entirely, the Seahawks pass rush should be able to get home often.
Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels has struggled with negative plays in his sophomore season; this will obviously be another difficult test for him without the services of Terry McLaurin.
It is crucial for the Washington defense to play sound run defense on first and second downs in this game. Seattle’s offense has faced 47 third and longs this year of seven or more yards, and they have converted a league-low 12% in those situations.
Playing at home, with the prospects of dropping to 3-6 on their mind, the Commanders defense should perform slightly better than their metrics indicate.
My play is mostly about the number here — 48 is a key number when playing totals and I just cannot reach that number when projecting these teams.
Seattle’s defense has been excellent on the road this year as no team has scored more than 20 against them. I expect the Commanders to find a way to hang around tonight — and I can’t envision that being in the form of a shootout.
Pick: Under 48.5 (-110); bet to Under 48
AJ Barner Player Props: Receiving Yards
AJ Barner doesn't have the highest target share (10%) or air yards share (9%), but he should have a bigger role for the Seahawks tonight with Cooper Kupp likely out.
Kupp runs a lot of his routes from the slot, so it should open up more targets in the middle of the field (and lead to more 12 personnel).
It's a solid matchup on paper for Barner — the Commanders have allowed the seventh-most receiving yards to tight ends this season.
Pick: AJ Barner Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt Props: Rush Attempts
By Derek Carty
There is a value opportunity on Jacory Croskey-Merritt's rush attempts prop tonight.
THE BLITZ is projecting 14.59 rush attempts, with a 67% chance that he exceeds 11.5 rush attempts. If you can get the over at +100 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -139.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: Jacory Croskey-Merritt Over 11.5 Rush Attempts (+100; bet to -139)
Editor's Note: This line has ticked up to 12.5 at most sportsbooks
Elijah Arroyo Prop Pick: Receiving Yards
By Sean Koerner
I figure this line for Elijah Arroyo will settle around 25.5 yards once Cooper Kupp is officially ruled out (he’s unlikely to play due to heel and hamstring injuries).
I think Arroyo would specifically see his usage go up as a result of Kupp's absence.
Arroyo is a talented second-round pick from this year's draft. He's a pass-catching tight end who I’m high on, but he has been capped this year playing behind AJ Barner — this is a spot I can see Arroyo potentially break out.
Pick: Elijah Arroyo Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
