Blues vs. Bruins Stanley Cup Final Cheat Sheet: Game 7 Odds, Predictions, More
Billy Hurst-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrice Bergeron, Ryan O’Reilly
- Our crew has every betting angle covered for Game 7 of the Stanley Cup Final featuring the St. Louis Blues and Boston Bruins.
- You'll find betting odds below as well as our sharp report, moneyline picks, prop bets and more.
Stanley Cup Final Game 7 Odds: Blues vs. Bruins
- Blues odds: +158
- Bruins odds: -175
- Over/Under: 5.5
- Time: 8 p.m. ET
- TV: NBC
>> All odds as of Wednesday afternoon.
The Boston Bruins will host the St. Louis Blues on Wednesday night to determine who will hoist the Stanley Cup.
Our experts have been diligently covering the betting market and offering their favorite picks in the run up to puck drop. You’ll find links to the full coverage below.
These are two of the best defensive teams in the NHL.
For the better part of a decade the Bruins have played a well-structured style anchored by their top line — Patrice Bergeron, David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand — and a sturdy defense.
The B’s allowed the second-fewest high-danger scoring chances and expected goals against per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 this season. They also finished second in shot attempts against per 60. Those numbers sparkle, but the Blues weren’t far behind, finishing third overall in HDCA/60 and xGA/60 and fourth in shot attempts allowed (per Natural Stat Trick).
The Bruins have generated more expected goals through the first six games, but the Blues have had more slightly off the puck and the high-danger chance battle is basically neck and neck.
- Shot share: St. Louis 51.5%
- Expected goals: Boston 54%
- High-danger scoring chances: St. Louis 50.5%
It’s not surprising to see professional bettors laying off tonight’s moneyline. But that doesn’t mean sharps are avoiding the matchup altogether.
According to our betting tools, wiseguys have been all over the Blues-Bruins Game 7 over/under, forcing oddsmakers in Las Vegas to make a significant adjustment to this total.
It gets no better than a Game 7 in the Stanley Cup Final. Well, unless this ultimate winner-take-all game goes into overtime. I’m here for it.
So, what does this situation mean from a betting perspective? Well, some of you may already know about my two favorite over/under situations in the Stanley Cup playoffs. And the only time both of those situations can occur simultaneously is in a Game 7.
Bruins C Patrice Bergeron: 3.5 Shots on Goal
- Over 3.5: -110
- Under 3.5: -120
In general, it’s profitable to bet unders in the Stanley Cup Final, and that’s exactly what I’m doing today with Bruins player props.
In 88 games (including playoffs), Bergeron is second on the team with 3.28 shots on goal per game. He’s an aggressive player.
But he doesn’t have a good matchup. Even though the Bruins have a whopping 71 shots on goal over the past two games, the Blues are a diligent defensive team. In the regular season, they held opponents to 28.6 shots on goal per game, and in the playoffs, they’ve basically been themselves, allowing just 28.7 per game. The Blues are one of the best teams in the league at limiting shots.
Bergeron has averaged 3.5 shots per game this series, and in Game 6 he burned us with six shots on goal, but he’s had fewer than 3.5 shots in four of six games in the Stanley Cup Final, and I have him projected for 3.02 tonight.
I’d bet the under to -145.
THE PICK: Under 3.5 (-120) — Matthew Freedman
See nine more props Matthew Freedman is betting tonight.
More Blues-Bruins Analysis
Our experts track all the trends you need to know before betting tonight’s Game 7.