NHL Odds, Preview, Prediction: Hurricanes vs Flyers (Tuesday, November 28)
Pictured: Garnet Hathaway. (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Odds
Here's everything you need to know about Hurricanes vs. Flyers on Tuesday, Nov. 28 — our expert NHL preview and prediction.
In the early window of Tuesday's NHL slate, the Philadelphia Flyers host the Carolina Hurricanes in a Metropolitan Division tilt. These divisional foes have already squared off twice this season, with each team claiming a victory.
Will Carolina take care of business as a road favorite, or can Philadelphia pull off the upset on home ice?
Let's preview the NHL odds, and make a Hurricanes vs. Flyers prediction.
After a great start to the campaign, Carolina has come back down to earth a bit. This month, the Hurricanes are 6-4, with two of those six victories coming in overtime.
The Hurricanes are a dominant team, there's no denying that. However, there are multiple reasons not to like them in this spot, at least not at their current price.
First, playing on the road against a divisional opponent is always a tough task, regardless of the matchup. Carolina is just 5-6 on the road this season, a steep downgrade from its 7-2 home record.
Second, Pyotr Kochetkov is expected to get the nod between the pipes. It's been a tough go for the 24-year-old netminder thus far as Kochetkov has posted a mere .881 SV% with a 2-4 record through seven appearances.
One of those losses came against Philadelphia, a game in which Kochetkov surrendered three goals on 24 shots. Inconsistent offensive production has been a recurring issue for the Hurricanes as they rank near the league average in goals scored per game.
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The Flyers rank even lower in goals scored per game, but rank higher in expected goals for per 60 minutes (xGF/60) at 5-on-5. That means positive regression is likely. However, even if that expected positive regression doesn't come to fruition at even-strength, Philadelphia could take advantage of Carolina's weak penalty kill.
The power play has been Philadelphia's main weakness on offense, but that could be mitigated for two reasons. First, Kochetkov can't be trusted right now.
Second, the Hurricanes rank just 25th in the league in penalty kill percentage. If Philadelphia can take advantage of these weaknesses, it should have the upper hand — especially considering the Flyers will be on home ice and have the edge in net.
Carter Hart is 6-5 with a .911 SV% and a 2.53 GAA through 12 starts. It also helps his case that he's fared extremely well in his career against Carolina.
Over his past eight starts against Carolina, Hart is 4-3-1 with a .927 SV% and a 2.49 GAA.
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A home 'dog in a divisional game is always an intriguing spot to consider. There's always a little more juice in these games, especially with the way Carolina has controlled this matchup over the past few seasons.
However, Philadelphia fought back and grabbed a victory in their most recent meeting, and I don't think it's far fetched that we see the same result on Tuesday. We are getting some great value in the Flyers at +143 via Caesars, a number that is 7-10 cents wider than the rest of the market.
Philadelphia has the edge in net and an offense that can keep up with the inconsistent product we've seen from Carolina. These teams have been playing at a similar level in November, so let's take a shot on the underdog.