Jets vs Avalanche Game 4 Prediction | NHL Odds, Preview (Sunday, April 28)
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Jets vs. Avalanche Prediction
| Jets Odds | +136 |
| Avalanche Odds | -164 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 -120 / +100 |
Here's everything you need to know about the Jets vs. Avalanche Game 4 on Sunday, April 28 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
The upcoming Game 4 matchup between the Jets and the Avalanche in Colorado presents an intriguing clash of unique styles and strategies.
Winnipeg has made it this far this season due to its incredible defense and the excellence of goalie Connor Hellebuyck. Colorado, on the other hand, boasts one of the best offenses in the league and has for many seasons now.
Up until this point, the explosive offense of the Avalanche has been too much for the Jets' stout defense to handle.
Will Jets vs. Avalanche Game 4 be more of the same?
The Jets exhibit balanced offensive metrics, ranking 14th in Corsi percentage and 13th in expected goals percentage (xG%), indicating competent, if not dominant, puck control and shot quality.
Winnipeg’s ability to convert on scoring opportunities is mirrored in its Expected Goals For, also ranked 13th.
However, the Jets power-play struggles are notable, and they rank among the bottom 10 in goals scored on the man advantage, which may limit their ability to exploit the Avalanche's weaker penalty kill.
Defensively, Winnipeg is relatively stout, positioned 10th in Expected Goals Against, showing effectiveness in limiting opponent scoring chances. While they rank 15th in high-danger chances against, their mid-pack performance is significantly bolstered by Hellebuyck’s standout goaltending, as stated before.
Hellebuyck ranks fourth in save percentage and is first in goals saved above expected, providing Winnipeg with a critical last line of defense that could frustrate the Avalanche’s attackers.
The Avalanche boasts a potent offense, ranking sixth in Corsi percentage and eighth in xG%, reflective of their aggressive and efficient play style.
The Avs are particularly formidable in scoring, sitting fourth in Expected Goals For and second in power-play goals, highlighting their lethal effectiveness in special-teams situations.
On the defensive end, Colorado shows some vulnerabilities, ranking 19th in Expected Goals Against and 23rd in high-danger chances against, indicating occasional lapses in their defensive gameplay.
Starting goalie Alexandar Georgiev has struggled this season with a save percentage ranking 49th and a goals-against average at 43rd, which could be a critical factor in a high-stakes game against a balanced Jets offense.
Jets vs. Avalanche
Betting Pick & Prediction
Considering the Avalanche's dynamic offensive capabilities and the Jets' defensive resilience, the most promising bet for this matchup is Over 6.5 goals.
Both teams have shown they can score and exploit weaknesses, and Colorado’s high-powered offense is likely to test Hellebuyck extensively. Simultaneously, the Jets might find success against an Avalanche defense that has been less than stellar, especially given Georgiev’s underwhelming form.
Each of the last three games in this series has gone Over 6.5 goals, and there is zero expectation that this game will result in a different end scenario. The Avalanche will have the home crowd in their favor, and they have the most potent offense of the two teams, which should allow them to execute even better.
Pick: Over 6.5 Goals (-120 at FanDuel)
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