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UFC 282 Odds, Pick & Prediction for T.J. Brown vs. Erik Silva: 1 Bet, 2 Leans for This UFC Newcomer (Saturday, December 10)

UFC 282 Odds, Pick & Prediction for T.J. Brown vs. Erik Silva: 1 Bet, 2 Leans for This UFC Newcomer (Saturday, December 10) article feature image
Credit:

Jeff Bottari/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: UFC featherweight Erik Silva

  • T.J. Brown welcomes Contender Series winner Erik Silva to the UFC octagon as part of Saturday's UFC 282 prelims.
  • The fight is a pick'em, but is either fighter the right side?
  • Sean Zerillo breaks down the matchup and offers a bet for the featherweight fight below.

T.J. Brown vs. Erik Silva Odds

Brown Odds
-110
Silva Odds
-110
Over/Under
1.5 (-175 / +140)
Venue
T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas
Time
7 p.m. ET
Channel
ESPN+
Odds as of Friday and via DraftKings.

Veteran UFC featherweight T.J. Brown meets promotional newcomer Erik Silva in an early preliminary card bout at UFC 282 on Saturday.

Brown had won back-to-back fights before a recent loss to Shayilan Nuerdanbieke.

He’ll look to get back on track when he meets recent UFC signee Silva, whose eight-fight winning streak includes an August win at a Contender Series event.

Let’s look at the matchup.

Tale of the Tape

Brown Silva
Record 16-9 9-1
Avg. Fight Time 13:36 1:32
Height 5’9″ 5’9″
Weight (pounds) 145 lbs. 145 lbs.
Reach (inches) 72″ 71″
Stance Switch Orthodox
Date of birth 5/22/1990 3/16/1987
Sig Strikes Per Min 3.68 7.83
SS Accuracy 43% 70%
SS Absorbed Per Min 2.88 0.00
SS Defense 50% 100%
Take Down Avg 3.86 9.78
TD Acc 61% 100%
TD Def 41% 0%
Submission Avg 1.6 0.0

After securing a contract via first-round submission on Contender Series in August, Silva will make his UFC debut against Brown, a Glory MMA product who had to scramble to replace his corner following James Krause’s suspension.

Silva opened around -165 for this matchup, but the line has moved closer to a pick’em price.

Brown has faced a more proven slate of competition, and he may have the wrestling advantage in the matchup.

Still, Silva is a far more dangerous man on the feet. If he can deny takedowns or survive until Brown eventually tires out, Silva should find opportunities to close the show or steal the scorecards late.

Brown vs. Silva Pick

I would bet Silva’s moneyline to -115.

Additionally, consider playing either his submission prop (projected +262, listed +320 at BetRivers) or his finish prop (projected +158, listed +175 at BetMGM) for a boosted payout.

The Pick: Erik Silva (-110, 0.5u at DraftKings)

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