UFC 288 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Marina Rodriguez vs. Virna Jandiroba: Any Value Left to Squeeze? (Saturday, May 6)

UFC 288 Odds, Pick & Prediction for Marina Rodriguez vs. Virna Jandiroba: Any Value Left to Squeeze? (Saturday, May 6) article feature image

Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC. Pictured: Women’s strawweight Virna Jandiroba of Brazil

  • Saturday's UFC 288 regular prelims kick off with Marina Rodriguez vs. Virna Jandiroba.
  • The women's strawweight fight is lined fairly closely with Rodriguez a modest favorite.
  • Below, Sean Zerillo breaks down the fight and explains which side he's on.

Marina Rodriguez vs. Virna Jandiroba Odds

Rodriguez Odds
Jandiroba Odds
2.5 (-235 / +190)
Prudential Center in Newark, New Jersey
8 p.m. ET
Odds as of Friday and via WynnBET

Brazilian strawweights clash on the UFC 288 preliminary card with the intriguing Marina Rodriguez vs. Virna Jandiroba matchup.

Money has poured in on the plucky Jandiroba over the past few weeks, but are bettors sleeping on Rodriguez and her standup edge?

Let's look at the matchup.

Tale of the Tape

Avg. Fight Time14:3211:09
Weight (pounds)115 lbs.115 lbs.
Reach (inches)65"64"
Date of birth4/29/19875/30/1988
Sig Strikes Per Min4.802.45
SS Accuracy47%38%
SS Absorbed Per Min3.053.19
SS Defense57%57%
Take Down Avg0.192.31
TD Acc33%38%
TD Def65%73%
Submission Avg0.21.1

Jandiroba's moneyline was as high as +175 a month ago – and would have been a value bet at that number – but the market has moved in close to a pick'em price for this matchup.

Unfortunately, I cannot recommend a wager at current prices on either side of the moneyline.

Based on the stylistic matchup alone, I would have looked to bet on Jandiroba as an underdog with all of the grappling upside. She is a decent wrestler for a BJJ practitioner, and Rodriguez gives up takedowns in almost all of her fights.

Additionally, Rodriguez isn't great at getting off her back either, which could provide Jandiroba ample time to set up a submission or rack up control time toward securing a decision.

Rodriguez vs. Jandiroba Pick

On the feet, Rodriguez has a severe striking advantage; still, Jandiroba is durable and manages distance well, and I could see her largely avoiding considerable damage until she finds an opening to get the fight to the mat.

Some books (BetMGM and WynnBet) still have +115 on Jandiroba, but that is as low as I would go for a straight bet.

The Pick: Virna Jandiroba (+115, 0.5u) at WynnBet

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