The Minnesota Timberwolves (41-26) will visit the Oklahoma City Thunder (52-15) for an NBA Sunday Showcase this afternoon. Tipoff is set for 1:00 p.m. ET from the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. The game will broadcast live on ABC.
The Thunder are 8.5-point favorites over the Timberwolves on the spread (Thunder -8.5), with the over/under set at 225.5 total points. Oklahoma City is a -395 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Minnesota is +310 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Timberwolves vs. Thunder predictions and NBA picks for Sunday, March 15.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction, Picks
Timberwolves vs Thunder picks: Timberwolves +8.5 (-105), Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Assists (+130)
Our Thunder vs. Timberwolves best bets are on Minnesota to cover the spread and Chet Holmgren to record over 1.5 assists. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder Odds
| Timberwolves Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -105 | 225.5 -112o / -108u | +310 |
| Thunder Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -115 | 225.5 -112o / -108u | -395 |
Timberwolves vs Thunder NBA Sunday Showcase Preview
The Thunder enter today's contest riding high on a 7-game winning streak.
However, only one of those wins came by a margin of 8.5 points or more, and that one win came against a Mavericks team that is much worse than the Timberwolves at this point and time.
In fact, three of the Thunder's last four wins have been separated by margins of three points or less — and while tight victories over the Celtics, Nuggets, and Knicks are certainly nothing to be ashamed of, it does further our narrative claiming that Oklahoma City is favored by too many points in this matchup.
The Timberwolves are 1-3 in their last four games entering today's game — but make no mistake about it, this is still a very good Minnesota basketball team.
Anthony Edwards is questionable for the Timberwolves in this game with right knee soreness — but if he winds up playing, we are getting a bargain on Timberwolves +8.5.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Predictions, Betting Analysis
Timberwolves +8.5
Action PRO projects the spread for this game at Thunder -5.6, suggesting that Oklahoma City is favored by almost three more points than they should be in this spot, which is a big enough edge to make Timberwolves +8.5 an A- play in our database.
Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Assists
Action PRO is projecting 2.03 assists for Chet Holmgren in the Thunder's matchup against the Timberwolves today, presenting an excellent 16.7% edge against his current prop line of over/under 1.5, which is strong enough to tag the Over with an A- grade in our system.
Holmgren recorded a grand total of zero assists in 28 minutes of action against Boston in his latest outing.
However, prior to his latest goose egg, Holmgren had recorded 2+ assists in five of his last six games, while reaching 3+ assists in three of those contests; and getting all the way up to 4+ assists in two of them.
Timberwolves vs Thunder Best Bets
- Timberwolves +8.5 (-105)
- Chet Holmgren Over 1.5 Assists (+130)
Timberwolves vs Thunder Betting Trends
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