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NBA Best Bets Friday: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for March 13

NBA Best Bets Friday: Expert Picks, Predictions & Odds for March 13 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Cade Cunningham, Jalen Brunson, Anthony Edwards, Deni Avdija

The NBA regular season continues with an excellent 8-game slate tonight — Friday, March 13.

Our NBA betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified best bets for six of tonight's contests, including picks for Knicks vs. Pacers, Timberwolves vs. Warriors, Bulls vs. Clippers, and more.

Continue below for our NBA best bets, expert picks, and predictions for tonight's slate.

NBA Best Bets for Friday, March 13

GameTime (ET)Pick
Memphis Grizzlies LogoDetroit Pistons Logo
7 p.m.
New York Knicks LogoIndiana Pacers Logo
7:30 p.m.
Cleveland Cavaliers LogoDallas Mavericks Logo
7:30 p.m.
Minnesota Timberwolves LogoGolden State Warriors Logo
10 p.m.
Chicago Bulls LogoLos Angeles Clippers Logo
10:30 p.m.
Utah Jazz LogoPortland Trail Blazers Logo
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Grizzlies vs. Pistons Prop Bet

Memphis Grizzlies Logo
Friday, March 13
7 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Detroit Pistons Logo
Cade Cunningham 10+ Assists (-160)
bet365 Logo

By Joe Dellera

Cade Cunningham has been unbelievable in blowouts from an assist perspective — and while I'm not necessarily looking at the win-loss margin, I am looking at the closing line.

The Pistons are listed as around 15.5-point favorites against the Grizzlies; a team that simply isn't trying to win basketball games right now.

Cunningham has gone over this line in 11-of-13 games in which the Pistons were double-digit favorites, basically averaging 11 assists per game under those circumstances.

Cade recorded 13 assists in 28 minutes against Philadelphia yesterday, and didn't even see the court in the fourth quarter.

Tonight, the Pistons face off against a tanking Grizzlies squad — and I'm expecting a similar result.

Pick: Cade Cunningham 10+ Assists (-160)

Playbook


Knicks vs. Pacers Spread Prediction

New York Knicks Logo
Friday, March 13
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Indiana Pacers Logo
Pacers +13.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bryan Fonseca

I kind of joked that the Pacers will treat their next meeting with the Knicks as their last game of the season, and then gradually start shutting guys down for the last month, just so they can lock in Darryn Peterson or AJ Dybantsa in the upcoming draft.

The Pacers sat everyone against the Suns yesterday except Andrew Nembhard.

It looks like Pascal Siakam should be good to go today, as well as Aaron Nesmith — and the Pacers sure do seem to love sticking it to the Knicks.

If the Pacers play everybody tonight and actually try to win this game, this line is way too steep.

Pick: Pacers +13.5 (-110)



Cavaliers vs. Mavericks Spread Pick

Cleveland Cavaliers Logo
Friday, March 13
7:30 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Dallas Mavericks Logo
Cavaliers -13.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA spread betting system targets regular season matchups where fatigue and overvaluation intersect to create an edge for visiting teams.

Home teams that have played multiple games in a short span, often three-to-five within five days, tend to experience a drop in energy and defensive consistency despite the advantage of being on their own court.

The market often overlooks this subtle fatigue effect, assuming comfort at home offsets physical wear, but in reality, quick turnarounds and short rest lead to slower rotations, weaker transition defense, and less efficiency late in games.

Visiting teams facing these tired hosts, particularly when they are more rested and entering the matchup with focus and travel rhythm, tend to outperform expectations against the spread.

This setup consistently rewards bettors who recognize that rest and intensity outweigh location when home favorites are running on fumes.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Fading Tired Home Teams
the game is played during the Regular season
the opposing team has had between 1 and 1 days off
the opposing team has played between 3 and 5 games in the last 5 Days days
the team is the Visitor team
the opposing team's home/away streak is between 1 and 1 games
$9,012
WON
872-739-32
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Cavaliers -13.5 (-110)



Timberwolves vs. Warriors Player Prop Prediction

Minnesota Timberwolves Logo
Friday, March 13
10 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Golden State Warriors Logo
Julius Randle Over 24.5 Points & Rebounds (-108)
DraftKings  Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Timberwolves face off against the Warriors on Friday night, and I’ll be targeting a Julius Randle prop.

The Warriors have sneakily been one of the worst rebounding teams in the league of late.

They are actually allowing the most rebounds to their opponents over their last 10 games.

The Warriors simply don’t have the offensive prowess without Steph Curry, and they are just getting destroyed on the glass without strong bigs.

Randle mashes on the interior and is coming off of three underperforming games. But this spot against GSW is a favorable one for him.

Randle can bully his way in the interior, and we’ve seen that from him in previous matchups against them this season with totals of 36, 16, and 25 PR.

He has both scoring and rebounding upside in this matchup, and without Jimmy Butler there, the Warriors don’t have a great defensive matchup for him since they don’t typically deploy Draymond Green in straight up coverage all game.

Pick: Julius Randle Over 24.5 Points & Rebounds (-108)



Bulls vs. Clippers Spread Bet

Chicago Bulls Logo
Friday, March 13
10:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Bulls +13.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA spread betting system focuses on regular season situations where visiting underdogs are primed for a rebound after failing to cover the spread in their previous game.

These teams often show stronger effort and tighter execution following a poor performance, particularly when facing opponents coming off strong ATS wins who may enter overconfident or slightly overvalued by the market.

The travel factor adds to the motivation, as underdogs on the road tend to play with urgency and discipline to stay competitive.

By isolating games where perception favors the home team and the spread is wide enough to allow value, this system captures bounce back opportunities where public sentiment skews the line, rewarding disciplined bettors who back undervalued road 'dogs in resilient spots.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Road Dogs Off ATS Loss
the previous game the team was the Dog
the team is the Visitor team
the game is played during the Regular season
the team's previous game ATS margin is between -100 and -0.5
the opponent's previous game ATS margin is between 4 and 100
the spread is between 3 and 100
$8,581
WON
925-787-30
RECORD
54%
WIN%

Pick: Bulls +13.5 (-110)



Jazz vs. Trail Blazers Player Prop Pick

Utah Jazz Logo
Friday, March 13
10 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Portland Trail Blazers Logo
Deni Avdija Over 6.5 Assists (+100)
DraftKings  Logo

By Joe Dellera

I like Deni Avdija over 6.5 assists in tonight's matchup between the Jazz and Blazers.

Avdija already posted totals of eight and seven assists in the two games he’s played since returning to Portland's lineup, while seeing 30+ minutes in both contests, which puts him squarely in range to clear this number again.

Utah plays very poor defense overall. The Jazz allow a high number of assists and give up plenty of opportunities to catch-and-shoot players.

Even though the Jazz have been relatively solid against pick-and-roll ball-handlers, I still think that could benefit Avdija from a playmaking perspective tonight.

Pick: Deni Avdija Over 6.5 Assists (+100)



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