We have another excellent slate on tap in the NBA today, and the prop market is full of value waiting to be exploited.
Our Action Network staff has combed through the matchups, rotations, and defensive schemes to find the best angles on the board.
Continue below for our NBA player props for Thursday, November 12.
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NBA Player Props for Thursday, November 12
| Time (ET) | Player Prop |
|---|---|
| 9 p.m. | |
| 8 p.m. | |
| 7 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
Hornets vs. Suns
Coby White Over 17.5 Points & Assists (-116)
By Joe Dellera
Coby White tonight continues to ramp up his conditioning following his return from injury. When monitoring his usage over the last few contests, the gradual increase in his workload is exactly what we want to see for a prop like this.
Aside from an understandable dip during an uncompetitive blowout against the Celtics, White has seen a slight uptick in his minutes in every single game. He just logged 20 minutes his last time out against the Cavaliers, and based on this steady progression, I fully expect him to push into the 22-to-24-minute range tonight.
While his shots have been falling a little short recently, I am not overly concerned because it certainly hasn't been for a lack of volume. The attempts are there, and the efficiency should naturally bounce back in this specific matchup.
White should see plenty of high-quality chances today against a notably weak Suns defense that has struggled to string together consistent stops.
When you dive into his distribution numbers, White’s top assist zone comes from generating three-point opportunities for his teammates — and defending the perimeter is exactly where this Phoenix defense is weakest.
When you combine his expanding workload, his consistent shot volume despite the recent misses, and an exploitable defensive matchup tailored to both his scoring and passing strengths, this line is simply too low.
I'll back White to clear this combined points and assists prop tonight as his rotation role continues to normalize.
Pick: Coby White Over 17.5 Points & Assists (-116)
Mavericks vs. Timberwolves
LaMelo Ball Over 27.5 Points & Assists (-110)
Even though LaMelo Ball is seeing slightly reduced run compared to a traditional star—playing similar minutes to last year where he isn't even cracking the 30-minute threshold every night—he is finding consistent ways to remain productive on the floor.
While the Mavericks' defense looks stout on paper, they are benefiting from opponent three-point shooting luck, and that variance is eventually going to level out.
Minnesota has established themselves as a genuinely good shooting team, ranking 13th in the league in three-point attempts per 100 possessions and converting those looks at a 37 percent clip. They also play at a top-10 pace, and that tempo is exactly what LaMelo will look to exploit in this specific matchup.
Ball has comfortably cleared this 27.5 line in three of his last four games. The lone under came against a tremendous Rockets defense that specifically schemed to take the ball out of his hands, frustrating his drives and forcing him into a 6-of-11 shooting night where he still managed to hit four of his seven looks from deep.
Unless he is facing a truly elite defensive scheme, Ball is going to get his production. I still do not trust the consistency of this Dallas defense, and I doubt they finish the year as a top-10 unit or maintain this mirage of being an elite three-point defense.
In a pace-up game environment, LaMelo should be able to spray the ball around the perimeter, rack up seven or eight easy assists when his shooters knock down open looks, and generate enough of his own offense to cash this ticket.
Pick: LaMelo Ball Over 27.5 Points & Assists (-110)
Pistons vs. Wizards
John Collins Over 19.5 Points & Rebounds (-122)
Last night on Buckets, I took Duncan Robinson over 3.5 three-pointers made, for what it's worth. But here, we'll talk about John Collins.
I'm holding my nose here — his fit hasn't quite panned out as I expected so far, but the Pistons starting him at the five and moving Paul Reed to the bench — lining up Collins alongside Cade Cunningham, Daniss Jenkins, Duncan Robinson and Ausar Thompson — was intriguing to me.
Evidently, it worked. Collins went off for 24 and 10 and Jenkins added creativity to the starting five, finishing with 22 points, eight assists, six boards and even four steals.
Anthony Davis, who had 44 against Detroit on Monday, could possibly sit the second leg of a back-to-back, too. He played in the Wizards' first back-to-back set in October, but sat both legs of a back-to-back just last week, in Atlanta and OKC, respectively.
We'll take Collins, with the assumption that the Pistons stick with the same starters as they did earlier this week.
Pick: John Collins Over 19.5 Points & Rebounds (-122)
