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PropBetGuy’s Thursday NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Should Stay Aggressive For Mavericks vs. Jazz

PropBetGuy’s Thursday NBA Player Prop: Jalen Brunson Should Stay Aggressive For Mavericks vs. Jazz article feature image
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Alex Goodlett/Getty Images. Pictured: Jalen Brunson

PropBetGuy will break down some of his favorite NBA plays of the day, and will track all his bets in The Action Network app.


Jalen Brunson Points

Player Prop Jalen Brunson Over 20.5 Points
Matchup Mavericks vs. Jazz
Time • TV 10 p.m. ET · TNT
Sportsbook FanDuel

One of the revelations of the NBA postseason has been the tremendous play of Jalen Brunson. The Mavericks guard is averaging a whopping 28.6 points across the five games thus far, eclipsing this line in each contest.

Of course, Brunson was relegated back to a secondary role with the return of Luka Doncic in Game 4. This has had an expected impact on the Villanova product’s usage, which has dropped from 33%, 33% and 35% in the first three games, to 29% in each game back with his All-Star teammate.

However, Doncic’s return to the lineup has not curbed Brunson’s aggressiveness. The fourth-year pro has maintained his 20+ drives per game (26, 22, 26, 21, 23 thus far in this series). To put this into context, only three players in the NBA averaged 20+ drives per game in the regular season:  Doncic, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Ja Morant — all of whom averaged at least 24 points per game.

The Jazz have no defensive remedy to stop Brunson, especially with Doncic back in the fold. And in a potential close-out game, I expect another 36+ minutes for the slashing guard tonight.  I have Brunson projected at 24 points.

Pick: Jalen Brunson Over 20.5 Points (-110 at FanDuel) | Playable up to 21.5.

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