Giants vs Commanders Odds & Live Scores - October 11, 2026

Giants at Commanders

5:00 pm • FOX

New York Giants

4-2-1

27 - 27

Washington Commanders

2-4-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 4-2-1	+2.5	+3.5-115	o41.5-106	+150
Commanders 2-4-1	u48.5	-3.5-104	u41.5-110	-185

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

October 11, 2026

Northwest StadiumLandover

WAS -3.5-109

1.09u

Under 41.5-108

0.27u

NYG +3.5-108

0.51u

Over 41.5-110

0.5u

WAS -3.5 (Live)-110

1.1u

J.Daniels u29.5 Pass Att-114

0.5u

J.Bates Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1400

0.1u

A.Williams u3.5 Recs-120

0.5u

T.McLaurin u3.5 Recs-130

0.65u

NYG +4-125

0.48u

A.Williams o33.5 Rec Yds-115

$1.15

https://discord.gg/E83JDF5uu

I.Likely Anytime TD Scorer Yes+260

$2.60

https://discord.gg/E83JDF5uu

A.Williams Anytime TD Scorer Yes+300

$1.00

https://discord.gg/E83JDF5uu

J.Daniels o29.5 Rush Yds-120

$1.00

https://discord.gg/NBZm82dhN

I.Likely Anytime TD Scorer Yes+250

0.63u

J.Winston o2.5 Rush Yds-102

0.5u

NYG +4.5-110

0.91u

Brandon’s Playground Week 5 pod

J.Daniels u6.5 Rush Att-121

N.Harris u0.5 Recs+120

0.5u

I.Likely o4.5 Recs-125

Under 41.5-115

1.15u

WAS -3-115

1.15u

L.McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1400

0.2u

J.Winston o2.5 Rush Yds-102

Anyone want a Jameis sweat? Me too. Winston hasn't run much this year, scrambling just one time in three starts. But he's also faced teams that all rank in the bottom half in pressure rate, including two in the bottom third of the league. Washington's pressure rate has been better than all three teams so far this season, and it shows in the numbers, allowing 2.2 QB scrambles per game compared to 1.9 expected from the QBs they've faced. The Rams, Titans, and Cardinals have each allowed fewer scrambles per game than the Commanders, and two of the three also allow fewer scrambles per game than expected, so Winston really has been playing defenses that just don't allow scrambles. In Jameis' games playing most of the snaps as a Giant, he's averaged 7.6 yards rushing per game, and since 2022 when he stopped becoming a regular rusher, he's still averaged 7.9 yards per game in games where he played the majority of the snaps, with a median of 7 yards. I don't expect him to run a ton, but a single scramble is likely to push us over, and there's potential for more than one, as well as the occasional sneak or designed run mixed in.

Under 42-110

Windy unders, neither team made postseason Overall: 318-204-4,61% (ROI:18%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:92%) Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift - copy Overall: 306-224-6,58% (ROI:12%) Season:2-3-0,40% (ROI:-23%) High Wind Unders Overall: 667-509-10,57% (ROI:10%) Season:5-4-0,56% (ROI:7%) Open Air Unders: Divisional Drift Overall: 426-323-11,57% (ROI:10%) Season:2-5-0,29% (ROI:-45%) #TSA

NYG +3.5+102

0.31u

System Play: John Harbaugh as Division Dog Overall: 20-9-1,69% (ROI:34%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:95%) + model alignment from @GriffShiesty901

NYG +4.5-115

0.87u

@wheatonbrando https://youtu.be/Spi9x-cD95o?is=hxVjF6Y5FWuRPA4F

WAS -148 (1Q)

0.17u

NYG +132 (2H)

0.33u

NYG +2.5 (1H)-102

0.5u

Over 20.5 (2H)-120

0.21u

NYG +0.5 (2Q)-110

0.25u

NYG +0.5 (3Q)-154

0.32u

NYG +0.5 (4Q)-130

0.19u

Over 7.5 (3Q)-110

0.45u

WAS u12.5 (1H)-102

0.25u

NYG +3.5-105

0.48u

NYG +164

0.5u

Under 20.5 (1H)-115

1.16u

J.Croskey-Merritt u6.5 Rec Yds-115

There is a value opportunity on Jacory Croskey-Merritt's receiving yards prop. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 4.46 receiving yards, while sportsbooks imply 10.49. The model believes there is a 72% chance he records fewer than 6.5 receiving yards, so there is some value on the under at -115. This play is good down to at least -170. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

NYG +3.5+106

0.27u

I.Likely Anytime TD Scorer Yes+225

0.99u

@gneiffer07 https://youtu.be/D-VSFIRKqec?is=hMOaINyXZnMG7eG3

J.Daniels Anytime TD Scorer Yes+245

@gneiffer07 https://youtu.be/D-VSFIRKqec?is=hMOaINyXZnMG7eG3

I.Likely Anytime TD Scorer Yes+270

@gneiffer07 https://www.youtube.com/live/_2qcnw1iubI?is=6NkNi3QWzF0NgWwS

L.McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer Yes+2000

0.05u

@GDAWG5000 https://www.youtube.com/live/_2qcnw1iubI?is=6NkNi3QWzF0NgWwS

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NFL Public Betting

Commanders are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Commanders are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Commanders are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Commanders' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	4-3	2-1	2-1	1-1	3-2
Giants	5-2	3-1	2-1	1-0	4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Commanders	4-3	2-1	2-1	1-1	3-2
Giants	5-2	3-1	2-1	0-1	4-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Commanders	2-4-1	N/A	N/A	1-0-1	1-4
Giants	4-2-1	N/A	N/A	1-0	3-1-1

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 4th	IND	L 13-30	-	-	IND +190
Sep 27th	SEA	W 33-31	+8.5 W	O 40.5	WAS +320
Sep 20th	@DAL	L 20-37	+4.5 L	O 51.5	DAL +182
Sep 13th	@PHI	L 22-24	+6 W	O 44	PHI +215
Aug 28th	@BAL	L 3-41	+4.5 L	O 35	BAL +160

Braxton Berrios
WR
Berrios is out with ankle
Out

Theo Johnson
TE
Johnson is questionable with neck
Questionable
Tyrone Tracy
RB
Tracy is out with hamstring
Out
Jaxson Dart
QB
Dart is out with knee
Out
Cam Skattebo
RB
Skattebo is doubtful with hamstring
Doubtful

Jeremy McNichols
RB
McNichols is out with foot
Out
Terry McLaurin
WR
McLaurin is out with knee
Out
Dyami Brown
WR
Brown is doubtful with calf
Doubtful
Treylon Burks
WR
Burks is out with foot
Out
Jaylin Lane
WR
Lane is out with ankle
Out
Jacory Croskey-Merritt
RB
Croskey-Merritt is out with groin
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Giants

Total

Commanders

408

Total Yards

378

Total Plays

4.9

Yards Per Play

6.3

Giants

Passing

Commanders

326

YDS

199

33/54

Comps/Atts

17/25

5.446

YPA

5.867

3/0

TDs/INTs

0/0

2/21

Sacks/Yards

5/23

Giants

Rushing

Commanders

103

Rush Yards

202

Attempts

3.679

YPC

6.733

TDs

Giants

Turnovers

Commanders

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Giants

Efficiency

Commanders

3/3 100%

Redzone

0/1 0%

8/17 0%

3rd Down

4/12 0%

2/2 0%

4th Down

0/0 0%

Giants

First Downs

Commanders

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Giants

Misc

Commanders

7/35

Penalties/Yards

9/69

39:25

Possession

30:35

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MatchupOverUnder
Giants 4-2-1	N/A	N/A
Commanders 2-4-1	N/A	N/A

Giants vs. Commanders Odds & Betting Predictions - October 11, 2026

Giants at Commanders

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Public

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