Betting Public Off to Worst NFL Start in 20 Years

Betting Public Off to Worst NFL Start in 20 Years article feature image

Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images. Pictured: Head coach Bill Belichick of the New England Patriots

The betting public is off to its worst start in 20 NFL seasons in terms of betting the spread.

In games where a team has drawn at least 51% of bets on the spread this season, those teams are 43-61, according to Action Network’s data of aggregate sportsbooks.

A $100 bettor would be up approximately $1,427 if they had faded the public in each of these contests, representing an ROI of about 14%.

After the Bears (+8.5) upset the publicly backed Patriots (53% of bets) on Monday night, teams publicly backed to cover are now 41.3% against the spread on the year. The last time that happened through the first seven weeks was the same year Apple unveiled the iMac.

The double-digit loss capped off a week 7 where publicly backed teams went 7-6-1 against the spread.

Notably, the Buccaneers, who closed as double digit favorite against the Panthers, were the largest publicly backed team, attracting 76% of bets.

They were the lowest scoring team of the week and lost 21-3.

The Lions, who lost 24-6 against the Cowboys, were the only other team that failed to score a touchdown. The public bet both sides evenly on that game, however.

As of this article’s writing here are the teams the public is backing ATS for Week 8:

  • Ravens (-1.5) – 84% of bets
  • Jaguars (-3) – 57% of bets
  • Steelers (+10.5) – 56% of bets
  • Patriots (-1.5) – 75% of bets
  • Falcons (-4.5) – 52% of bets
  • Raiders (-2) – 59% of bets
  • Cowboys (-9) – 57% of bets
  • Dolphins (-3) – 92% of bets
  • Vikings (-3.5) – 58% of bets
  • Titans (-1.5) – 64% of bets
  • Commanders (+3) – 58% of bets
  • 49ers (-1.5) – 74% of bets
  • Seahawks (-3) – 55% of bets
  • Bills (-10.5) – 59% of bets
  • Bengals (-3) – 92% of bets

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