Eagles vs. Washington Odds & Pick: The Team Total Under To Bet (Sunday, Sept. 13)
Mitchell Leff/Getty Images. Pictured: Fletcher Cox
- The Philadelphia Eagles face the Washington Football Team as 5.5-point home favorites with a total that’s fallen to 42.5 points.
- What should we expect from Sunday’s Week 1 matchup? Where is the betting value?
- Check out BJ Cunningham's full preview and analysis with updated odds below.
Eagles vs. Washington Odds
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The Philadelphia Eagles will look to defend the NFC East title as they take on the lowly Washington Football Team to open the season.
For the Eagles, it’s not a question whether they can make the playoffs this season — it’s if Carson Wentz can take the next step and become a Super Bowl-caliber quarterback. The jury is still out of Wentz, and a poor 2020 season could raise even more question marks for the Eagles’ signal-caller.
As for Washington, no team was in the headlines more this offseason — and it wasn’t for good reasons. The team will try to put all of that behind them with a new coach, new president and a lot of new players on the roster. But it likely won’t translate to many points in Week 1.
The Eagles dealt with a ton of offensive injuries last season, with many of their skill players sidelined or placed on Injured Reserve for various stints. Wentz was still able to post a fantastic touchdown-to-interception ratio (27-6), but struggled with efficiency — his yards per attempt (6.70) proved to be one of the lowest in football and his passer rating (95.2) came in at 15th in the NFL.
Now Wentz will have the benefit of a healthy group of skill players to start the season, so his numbers should improve early in 2020.
Philly running backs had the benefit of playing behind one the best run-blocking offensive lines in football last season. The Eagles return most of that unit, but with All Pro left tackle Jason Peters is moving to guard, it’s hard to imagine that they’ll repeat that same type of success.
Still, Miles Sanders and Boston Scott showed a lot of promise last season, running the ball for a combined 4.65 yards per carry. And while the Eagles’ offensive success will no doubt rest on Wentz’s shoulders, if they can establish a consistent running game, it could take a lot of pressure off Wentz and allow him to return to the 2017 version of himself.
Philadelphia’s defensive line is one of the best in all of football. Not only does the unit have a ton of talent, but it also has a ton of depth. The Eagles ranked fourth in terms of rushing success allowed and third in stuff rate (per Football Outsiders).
Fletcher Cox and the rest of the group will be Philly’s strength heading into 2020.
The Eagles went through a number of changes over the offseason, mainly in their secondary. They traded for Darius Slay and let Ronald Darby walk in free agency. Slay is an upgrade from Darby and should improve a secondary that ranked 10th in passing success rate last year.
The Eagles also re-signed Jalen Mills to a one-year contract and will move him to safety to play alongside Rodney McLoud. The team hopes that will provide some continuity in its secondary in 2020.
Washington Football Team
It was a tumultuous offseason for the Washington Football Team that left the team with question marks all over offense.
Outside of Devlin Hodges and David Blough, Dwyane Haskins had the worst passer rating in the league last year. He had only a 46% passing success rate and turned the ball over 11 times in nine games. He has star in the making and college teammate Terry McLaurin to throw to, but otherwise, Haskins doesn’t have very many weapons on offense.
The new coaching staff is putting their faith in Haskins, but he’ll need to develop quickly or Washington could find itself looking for a new quarterback this offseason.
Washington has a lot of no-names in its backfield.
With Adrian Peterson and Derrius Guice gone, it’s down to J.D. McKissic and third-round pick Antonio Gibson. Gibson stood out in Mike Norvell’s offense at Memphis, averaging 11.2 yards per carry. However, it’s hard to imagine that Gibson will have that same type of success in his rookie season behind a below-average offensive line.
Washington’s defensive line will no doubt improve in 2020 after drafting Chase Young with the second overall pick. The team finished as one of the worst defenses in 2019, ranking 24th in defensive passing success and 27th in defensive rushing success.
They added veteran Thomas Davis to the linebacking corps and Ronald Darby to the secondary over the offseason, so it should see some improvement overall. But this will probably be an average defense at best in 2020.
My Eagles-Washington Projections
I have the Eagles projected as -7.05 favorites and this total at 40.95, but I think the value is on the Washington team under.
The Eagles looked poised to feature one of the best defensive units in the NFC this season, and I think their defensive line will be the difference in this game given Washington’s weakness in its rushing attack heading into the season. And if Washington can’t run the ball, it’s hard to imagine Haskins lighting up Philly’s secondary if it becomes one-dimensional.
I have Washington projected for 16.95 points in, so there’s some value in taking the team total Under 18.5 points at -109.
Pick: Washington Under 18.5 Points (-109; up to -112)
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