Your NFL Betting Guide: Odds, Picks & Predictions For Every Game

NFL Odds, Picks & Predictions

Titans at Ravens Odds & Pick

Raheem Palmer: The Ravens are a schoolyard bully.

Outside of last week's loss to Bill Belichick's Patriots and last season's playoff loss to the Titans, the Ravens typically beat the teams they're supposed to beat. And even with a 6-3 record, the Titans are a team that the Ravens are supposed to beat: The Titans have a point differential of only +14, which measures out to fewer than three points per win. As a result, their Pythagorean expectation tells us that the Titans should have won about five games while losing four.

At 6-3, the Titans have clearly over-performed their point differential. And teams that over-perform their point differential are likely to see regression.

If there's a magic elixir for a Ravens offense, it's the Titans 24th-ranked defense that is simply a step down in class compared to recent weeks.

My projections make this game closer to 7, however, I'm not willing to lay nearly a touchdown with a struggling Ravens run defense without Campbell and Williams against a run-heavy offense. That said, I do like the Ravens to avenge their playoff loss, so this is an ideal spot for a 6-point teaser.

Tease the Ravens down and pair them with the Eagles.

PICK: Tease Ravens [Bet now at BetMGM]

Eagles at Browns Odds & Pick

Brandon Anderson: In the end, what we have here is a game that's important but really shouldn't be — neither team is good, and neither looks like a threatening playoff team. This feels like a game that would be the first one to kickoff the playoffs.

Technically we have to care, but that doesn't mean it won't be ugly.

The Browns don't have quite as much urgency as the Eagles yet. The Browns still get to play the Jaguars, Giants and Jets later on, and we know how dominant the Browns are against bad teams. This game matters far more to the Eagles, and it's fair to wonder whether Wentz and Doug Pederson are playing for their jobs at this point.

We should expect Philly to pull out every stop.

Cleveland looks perhaps slightly the better team, but factor in Philly's return to health then the trump card of a missing Garrett, and this looks like a coin flip for the Browns (at best).

The line didn't budge at all when Garrett went out, and that feels like a mistake. Garrett is Cleveland's most important player, and Wentz is far better when he's not under pressure and holding the ball too long all game.

This won't be pretty, and it will likely be close late. It feels too close to call and could come down to a turnover or a late play. In a game like that, I'm typically taking the points. But given what's at stake for Philly here and how close this should be, I'll grab the +120 moneyline and let the Eagles finish the job.

PICK: Eagles +120 [Bet now at PointsBet]

Falcons at Saints Odds & Pick

Mike Randle: There are simply too many variables going against New Orleans in this heated AFC South rivalry. Atlanta's ability to limit Alvin Kamara in these matchups combined with Taysom Hill making his first start provide two big advantages.

The Falcons have been a different team under Raheem Morris and can hide their pass defense deficiencies behind a strong front four defensive line. We saw the Saints struggle against the Packers offense in Week 2, and Matt Ryan, Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley bring many of the same problems.

I'm backing the Falcons with the 3.5-point hook in a game they could absolutely win. Hill will flash some big moments, but could also make some critical mistakes due to lack of experience. This line has come down since it opened at 5.5, but I would make sure to use our NFL odds page to shop around to ensure you get it at this key number.

PICK: Falcons +3.5 [Bet now at PointsBet]

Steelers at Jaguars Odds & Pick

Mike Randle: This is a tricky situational spot for the Steelers, who have a rematch with AFC North rival Ravens coming up on Thanksgiving Day. Pittsburgh has also historically struggled as a huge road favorite under head coach Mike Tomlin.

As a double-digit road favorite under Tomlin, the Steelers are just 1-10 against the spread, per our Bet Labs data:

The talent disparity is too great between Pittsburgh and Jacksonville for a Steelers loss, but the 10-point spread and big-play passing ability with Luton gives me pause.

I'm teasing the Steelers down to -4 as well as the over down to 40 total points. The Steelers will score, and even if they are up big, the Jaguars should be able to generate enough points to crest this adjusted total.

PICK: Tease Steelers to -4, total to 40 [Bet now at Parx]

Patriots at Texans Odds & Pick

Brad Cunningham: Even though this is a lost season for the Texans, Watson is still playing like one of the best quarterbacks in the league.

When you think of a Belichick defense, your mind automatically goes to them being one of the best in NFL. However, this season has been a different story, especially in the secondary. Watson should be able throw all over the Patriots.

I have the Texans favored by -2.37 points at home, so there's some value on them at +2.5, and would play them down to +1.

PICK: Texans +2.5 [Bet now at PointsBet]

Bengals at Washington Odds & Pick

Brad Cunningham: Even though the Washington defense has been stellar vs. the pass, Joe Burrow and the Bengals' passing attack will be able to break off a number of big plays. On the flip side, if Alex Smith is able to match his level of play from last week, he could repeat his career-high numbers against the Bengals' weak secondary.

I have the total projected at 52.31 points, so there's value on the over at 46.5 points and would play it up to 47.5.

PICK: Over 46.5 points [Bet now at BetMGM]

Lions at Panthers Odds & Pick

Phillip Kall: Bridgewater’s uncertain status has caused movement in the line throughout the week and makes choosing a particular side difficult. If you can, wait until he is officially ruled in or out before making a pick.

If Bridgewater is cleared to play, neither of these two defenses have shown the ability to stop anyone recently. With the playmakers available on both sides of the ball, the over is the way to go.

If Walker is the starter, however, he will try to recreate some of those plays that made him an XFL sensation. But in the NFL, these can lead to big plays for the defense, and a couple of mistakes will be enough to get the Lions to cover.

If Bridgewater starts, back the over up to 48. If Walker starts, back the Lions down to -3.5.

[Bet at BetMGM and win $100 if a touchdown is scored]

Jets at Chargers Odds & Pick

Reed Wallach: I make this spread -11 but can’t possibly lay that number with a Chargers club that is constantly playing one-score games. I am inclined to bet the Jets, but I also can’t in this spot with Adam Gase as the coach — Gase is 4-13 as a road underdog with the spread a touchdown or greater.

The Chargers have played six straight over games, while the Jets are coming off a surprisingly high-scoring affair against the Patriots.

While bettors expect the Jets to be a classic under team because of a bad offense, the team is just 5-4 to the under this season. With a total 45.5, I’ll play the over.

If there is any time for the Jets to show an ounce of motivation, it is off of a bye with maximum time to prepare and maybe work in some quick-hitting plays to hit a Chargers defense that is bleeding points.

PICK: Over 45.5 (up to 47.5) [Bet now at BetMGM]

Dolphins at Broncos Odds & Pick

Reed Wallach: Miami is going to regress heavily once the turnovers even out over time. Tua Tagovailoa has looked fine to start, but not as good as Miami’s record is. This win streak is a product of some favorable bounces that come back towards the median.

There will be a spot for me to fade Miami, but this isn’t it. I can’t back Denver on a short number given what we have seen from the offense of late.

This leads me to the under. I make this total closer to 41, so I see some value in the current line of 45.5. The only way Denver hangs in this game is running the ball, which will eat away at the clock and avoid careless turnovers.

On the other end, this Miami offense is going to need to work for its points against a stout Denver defense that limits big plays and gets off the field on third down, 4% better than the league average with a 38% third down defense.

PICK: Under 46 (down to 44) [Bet now at PointsBet]

Cowboys at Vikings Odds & Pick

Brandon Anderson: This feels like a mismatch and a game the Vikings certainly should win with relative ease. Cook and the rushing attack are running all over opponents, and the Cowboys have a bottom-five run defense.

Minnesota's improving defense should surely be able to handle this decrepit Dallas attack, too. Dalton's return may not even help, as bad as he's been, and Ezekiel Elliott is nursing a sore hamstring. It would have been hard to believe six weeks ago, but Dallas should have a seriously difficult time moving the ball or scoring on this Vikings defense.

The Cowboys total is at 20.5 points, and it's hard to see them breaching that number. Dallas has averaged 10.3 points in games without Prescott, remember, and the Cowboys have scored exactly two touchdowns in those four games — one of them deep into garbage time. They're getting field goals, but without two touchdowns, it takes a whole lot of three-point drives to get to 21.

You never know when Kirk Cousins might lay an egg, but playing at home with a solid defense and run attack against a bad team leaves no particular reason to worry.

The Vikings should win by double digits, though it would sure feel better betting a 6.5-point cover if the line budged. The Vikings are a prime teaser candidate as things stand, perhaps with a Chiefs team coming out of a bye and looking for revenge on a similar line.

If I'm playing a side in this one, I'd go with a Vikings cover, even at -7 or -7.5. But the better play is a Minnesota tease, then grabbing a piece of that Dallas under 20.5. If the Vikings does find a way to blow this, it's more likely to be because of the offense stalling than the Cowboys magically finding theirs.

PICK: Cowboys Under 20.5 [Bet now at PointsBet]

Packers at Colts Odds & Pick

Raheem Palmer: The Colts have a top-five defense, but they allowed 27 points in a loss to Gardner Minshew and a 23rd-ranked Jaguars offense. That could be forgiven given that it was the first week of the season in a year with limited training camp and no preseason. However, the Colts also gave up 27 points in a comeback win to rookie Joe Burrow and the Bengals in a Week 6 home game.

The Colts' troubles didn't stop there, as they have since given up 32 points to Baker Mayfield and 24 points to Lamar Jackson.

Here's the kicker: None of those offenses are in the top 10 in offensive efficiency, and none are ranked higher than 19th in passing offense. So how do the Colts slow down the Packers, who will be playing in a dome after weeks of playing in windy games that suppressed their offensive output?

Do you have faith in Old Man Rivers to keep up with Rodgers and a Packers offense that's second in offensive efficiency and is scoring 30.8 points per game?

I don't.

Although the Packers defense isn't anything to write home about, the Packers have the defensive reinforcements they need with Alexander and King returning from injury.

There's been some sharp money on the Colts this week, however, I don't agree with it as my model makes this game a pick'em. I like the Packers to win this game outright and recommend taking them with the points or the moneyline.

I'd also recommend adding them to 6-point teasers with the Eagles.

PICK: Packers +1.5 [Bet now at PointsBet]