Raiders vs Rams Odds & Best Bets: Our Top 4 Picks for Thursday Night
Raiders vs Rams Odds
| Raiders Odds | -6.5 |
| Rams Odds | +6.5 |
| Moneyline | -305 / +240 |
| Over/Under | 42 |
| Odds via Caesars. | |
Rams vs Raiders kicks off Week 14 on Thursday Night Football at SoFi Stadium, and we have you covered.
Check out the two Rams vs Raiders picks that our betting analysts are on tonight below.
Raiders vs Rams Picks
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Billy Ward: Twenty-one is a key number for half-game totals, with it obviously representing three touchdowns. BetRivers is giving us the extra half-point, meaning we'd win rather than push, which is a significant edge.
The Rams and Raiders are two of the slower-paced teams in the league, both among the bottom ten in terms of situation neutral pace. They've both played slower in the first half of games than the second, with both teams jumping more than ten spots in terms of second-half ranking.
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While some of that is explained by the fact that both teams have spent the majority of their second halves playing from behind, that doesn't explain all of it. Additionally, by definition they can't both be behind.
Therefore, this game would need a ton of efficiency to go over the first-half line. That's not likely when the Rams are starting John Wolford (possibly Baker Mayfield?) at quarterback. L.A. also has a solid run defense — even without Aaron Donald, who grades far better in the pass rush. That should at least slow the Raiders offense.
I'm willing to lay up to -120 on this line, but I wouldn't take any of the 21-point totals available at other books.
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Nick Giffen: The Rams are 28th in pace; the Raiders are 26th. Both play slower in the first half, combining for almost two more seconds per play in the first 30 minutes compared to the second.
The two are also slower than league average in neutral and close-game scenarios, which would most likely apply to the majority of the first half.
Both teams have a better rush defense than against the pass. The first half likely won’t see either team deploy a pass-heavy game script. More rushing equals more inefficiency.
The game total is 44.5, so I’m not sure why a book would post 21.5 for the first half. That’s what BetRivers and PointsBet have done.
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Chris Raybon: With Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson out for the season, the Rams have finally been getting their 2021 second-round pick on the field.
In Week 12, Atwell saw a career-high 47% route participation rate, and that ticked up to 51% last week. Atwell is averaging 37.4 receiving yards per game over his past five games and 44.3 in his last three. He’s the rare high aDot guy who also gets targeted at a high rate, posting a 23.1% target rate per route despite an aDOT of 28.1.
At his current line, Atwell could clear this prop on one target. He has caught a pass of at least 15 yards from Matthew Stafford, John Wolford and Bryce Perkins over the past three weeks, so it should not matter who's under center for the Rams, whether it's Wolford, Perkins or even Baker Mayfield.
I have Atwell’s receiving yardage projected in the mid-30s.
Pick: Tutu Atwell Over 23.5 Receiving Yards |
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Charlie DiSturco: I’m fading Foster Moreau, who has been a bit lucky over the last few weeks.
In four Raiders wins with Moreau, he has gone under this number three of four times. In the last three weeks, Moreau has finished with 32 or 33 yards each game — twice he hauled in just one reception.
Moreau’s aDOT is 8.6 despite his 12.6 yards per reception. Over the last three weeks, he’s seen his average jump to 19.6.
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The Raiders’ recent success and turnaround has come in correlation with an uptick in usage with Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams. Mack Hollins has slowly grown into his own as the No. 2 receiver, too, leaving fewer targets to be had for the surrounding cast.
Moreau now has his toughest test since Week 10. Despite their struggles in the passing game, the Rams are about league average against tight ends.
In his past three games, Moreau has faced two of the four worst defenses against TEs. Moreau didn’t finish over this mark once in that span, even with seven targets against Seattle in a game Vegas scored 40 points.
In an expected under game where the Raiders rely on their stars, Moreau should be a non-factor. Our projections are closer to 28.7 yards, putting some value on his under tonight.
Pick: Foster Moreau Under 33.5 receiving yards |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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