Wednesday NHL Odds, Picks, Prediction: Detroit Red Wings vs. Philadelphia Flyers Betting Preview
Photo by Dave Reginek/NHLI via Getty Images. Pictured: Joe Veleno (Red Wings)
Red Wings vs. Flyers Odds
|Red Wings Odds||-110|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
|Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.|
The Flyers will look to make it three straight victories after snapping their dreadful 13-game losing skid.
They play host to a developing, young Red Wings club that has fallen well out of the playoff picture following a strong start to the season.
Can Detroit find some of the magic it had early in the season?
Red Wings Hitting a Wall?
An All-Star break reset may not have come at a better time for the Red Wings. Their young talent seems to be hitting a bit of a wall as of late, although recent wins over Pittsburgh and Anaheim are still positive notes.
Detroit’s season as a whole still has to be seen as a massive positive. The organizational rebuild is coming along nicely, with two players well into the Calder trophy mix. Also, the Red Wings are on pace to best their preseason expected totals.
A 4-4-1 record over their last nine games is still solid, but a 49.34 xGF% suggests they have been deserving of exactly that, a middling record.
That’s considerably better than what their opposition has managed.
Detroit will be nearly at full health here, and will have a great opportunity to build on a solid first half of the season. Nick Leddy will likely be the only notable absence for the Red Wings.
Alex Nedeljkovic will likely start, and has been strong in his debut season with the Wings. He has posted a +6.1 goals saved above expected rating, with a .911 save % throughout 34 games played this season.
Where Do Flyers Stand?
After another long losing skid, Philadelphia has stabilized thanks to a two-game winning streak. A 48.84 xGF% over the Flyers’ last 10 suggests things were possibly never as bad as the results said.
However, it has been clear that the nature of the breakdowns seen from the club have been far worse than league average.
Carter Hart has quietly been playing out of his mind as of late.
With Ryan Ellis injured on the back end, there aren’t many strong defenders on this roster.
Sean Couturier, Kevin Hayes and Joel Farabee remain sidelined up front, although Couturier is close to a return. He will offer a massive boost.
Hart should draw the start here, looking to build on some tremendous recent play. He has a +6.3 goals saved above expected rating and a .915 save % throughout 29 games played this season.
Red Wings-Flyers Pick
Detroit has faded well out of the playoff picture — as most would have expected. The Red Wings carried through some obvious roster holes in the early going thanks to otherworldly play from two rookies.
However, even considering the Red Wings’ form has clearly dipped, it’s still hard for me to see them as only -110 against a Flyers team that has posted dreadful results over a relatively large sample size.
Although recent analytics suggest otherwise, I still believe that this Red Wings team is capable of producing far better play in front of goal than this heavily depleted Flyers roster.
I believe Detroit holds enough of an edge here to warrant a bet at -110.
With regards to the total, I definitely lean toward the under 6. Both goalies are in strong form, and there’s not a lot of offensive firepower on either side.
I see the most value in backing Detroit to get a win, though.
Pick: Detroit Red Wings -110 (Play to -120)
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