2022 American Express Updated Odds & 7 Picks for Talor Gooch, Will Zalatoris, More

2022 American Express Updated Odds & 7 Picks for Talor Gooch, Will Zalatoris, More article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Talor Gooch (left) and Will Zalatoris.

Updated 2022 American Express Odds

*Odds via PointsBet as of Wednesday at 11:30 p.m. ET.

Jon Rahm+600
Patrick Cantlay+800
Scottie Scheffler+1800
Sungjae Im+2000
Seamus Power+2500
Tony Finau+2500
Abraham Ancer+2800
Corey Conners+2800
Talor Gooch+2800
Matthew Wolff+3300
Russell Henley+3300
Patrick Reed+3500
Cameron Tringale+5000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+5000
Justin Rose+5000
Rickie Fowler+5000
Si Woo Kim+5000
Will Zalatoris+6000
Alex Noren+6600
Jhonattan Vegas+6600
Luke List+6600
Adam Hadwin+7000
Carlos Ortiz+7000
Charles Howell III+7000
Michael Thompson+7000
Brian Harman+8000
Russell Knox+8000
Taylor Moore+8000
Jason Day+9000
K.H. Lee+9000
Lucas Glover+9000
Adam Long+10000
Adam Svensson+10000
Andrew Landry+10000
Brendan Steele+10000
Brendon Todd+10000
Cameron Champ+10000
Chez Reavie+10000
Chris Kirk+10000
Denny McCarthy+10000
Doug Ghim+10000
Gary Woodland+10000
Harold Varner III+10000
Hayden Buckley+10000
Kevin Streelman+10000
Lanto Griffin+10000
Patrick Rodgers+10000
Phil Mickelson+10000
Sebastian Munoz+10000
Aaron Rai+12500
Alex Smalley+12500
Andrew Putnam+12500
Danny Lee+12500
Emiliano Grillo+12500
Kramer Hickok+12500
Patton Kizzire+12500
Tom Hoge+12500
Troy Merritt+12500
Vincent Whaley+12500
Adam Schenk+15000
Brandt Snedeker+15000
Chad Ramey+15000
C.T. Pan+15000
Davis Riley+15000
Dylan Frittelli+15000
Francesco Molinari+15000
Henrik Norlander+15000
Hudson Swafford+15000
John Huh+15000
Rory Sabbatini+15000
Scott Piercy+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Taylor Pendrith+15000
Wyndham Clark+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Dylan Wu+20000
Greyson Sigg+20000
Hank Lebioda+20000
Harry Higgs+20000
Joseph Bramlett+20000
Matthew NeSmith+20000
Nick Hardy+20000
Nick Taylor+20000
Robert Streb+20000
Andrew Novak+25000
Ben Kohles+25000
Brian Stuard+25000
Bronson Burgoon+25000
Cameron Young+25000
Doc Redman+25000
Graeme McDowell+25000
J.J. Spaun+25000
James Hahn+25000
Jason Dufner+25000
JT Poston+25000
Lee Hodges+25000
Max McGreevy+25000
Pat Perez+25000
Peter Uihlein+25000
Roger Sloan+25000
Ryan Moore+25000
Sahith Theegala+25000
Sepp Straka+25000
Tyler Duncan+25000
Tyler McCumber+25000
Wesley Bryan+25000
Anirban Lahiri+30000
Austin Smotherman+30000
Brandon Wu+30000
Brice Garnett+30000
Camilo Villegas+30000
Chan Kim+30000
David Lipsky+30000
Jonathan Byrd+30000
Kevin Chappell+30000
Kevin Tway+30000
Luke Donald+30000
Nate Lashley+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
Richy Werenski+30000
Sam Ryder+30000
Austin Cook+35000
Brandon Hagy+35000
Chesson Hadley+35000
Jim Herman+35000
Justin Lower+35000
Kurt Kitayama+35000
Sung Kang+35000
Trey Mullinax+35000
Brett Drewitt+40000
David Skinns+40000
Jimmy Walker+40000
Michael Gligic+40000
Nick Watney+40000
Paul Barjon+40000
Seth Reeves+40000
Seung-yul Noh+40000
Bill Haas+50000
Brian Gay+50000
Callum Tarren+50000
Chris Stroud+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
Davis Love III+50000
Dawie van der Walt+50000
James du Preez+50000
Jared Wolfe+50000
John Pak+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Joshua Creel+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Kyle Mendoza+50000
Mark Wilson+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Scott Gutschewski+50000
TJ Vogel+50000
Stephen Stallings Jr.+50000
Bet The American Express at BetMGM and get a risk-free bet up to $1,000.

We're back on the mainland on the PGA TOUR this week after a pair of thrilling finishes in Hawaii.

The American Express field is headlined by a pair of studs in Jon Rahm and Patrick Cantlay, but there is plenty of quality up and down the oddsboard. Some noteworthy names are making their 2022 debuts, including one outright pick you'll read about below.

PGA West gives the players a rare three-course setup, which is something players will not often see on TOUR, including a Pete Dye design. None of the courses are especially long, which means the right conditions could lead to more elite scoring, as we've seen twice already in 2022.

Our GolfBet staff scoured the board for betting value since only two names stand out at the very top. Check out their picks and breakdowns below.

Sahith Theegala — Top 10 (+1800)

Jason Sobel: I very nearly swung for the fences and made this 250/1 longshot my favorite outright play this week. Instead, I’ll hedge just a bit and list Theegala for a top-10, but I obviously don’t mind a shot on him at that massive outright price, as well.

An all-everything collegiate player at Pepperdine — he won the Haskins, Hogan and Nicklaus awards — the California native is on the verge of big things at the professional level and history suggests it could happen here in his home state.
We won’t be able to get him at these current odds for much longer; I was worried that an opening 65 at last week’s Sony Open would hurt his number for this week, but three subsequent rounds of “only” 69 left him in a share of 48th and left his price untouched.

I strongly encourage a play on him in some form until the books finally realize his impending potential – and at an event which has seen a winner from 200/1 and three others listed only as field bets over the past decade, this feels like the right place to play a big number.

Bet Sahith Theegala at PointsBet and get $250 FREE.

Talor Gooch +2900

Chris Murphy: There are a number of ways I could have gone this week, as I think this course sets up in a similar way, in terms of skill set required, to what we saw at the Sony Open. I am going to roll in with a player that played last week, but lacked the consistency to really contend in Hawaii.

Talor Gooch was a popular pick at Waialae last week, but he ultimately started slowly in the opening rounds, which left him battling to make the weekend. He really put it all together in the back half of his second round and into Saturday, though he couldn’t find that same form on Sunday.

I’ll go back to Gooch here at a course and format that he has played well in the past, and he has shown to be a better player now than he was back then. Gooch has three straight top-20 finishes at this event, including a fourth in 2019, and has always shown an affinity for playing in California. I really like the way things set up for him this week, and if he can hone in on the play he found in rounds 2 and 3 last week, he will be in position to contend for the win on Sunday.

Michael Thompson +8000

Matt Vincenzi: Michael Thompson was one of the most impressive golfers at last week's Sony Open. The 36-year-old gained 6.5 strokes on approach, was third good for third best in the field. He struggled a bit off the tee, but that shouldn't be much of a detriment at The American Express since the rough is not overly penalizing on any of the three courses.

In addition to his performance last week, Thompson also has shown he likes playing at PGA West. Last year, he finished in fifth place and also finished ninth at the event in 2019.

Early in the season, journeyman golfers who get hot tend to stay hot for a stretch, and Thompson has been a streaky player throughout his career. At close to triple digits, it makes sense to see if he can roll the momentum into another strong performance this week.

Hayden Buckley — Top 30 (+310)

Rob Bolton: Even though last week’s three-pronged parlay delivered at Waialae, I’m not feelin’ the same for cuts made this week. Sure, the best of the sport get 54 holes to check that box in the Coachella Valley, but the trio of courses put the express in The American Express. The extra round multiplies the possible pitfalls, so I’ll sidestep that trap.

In simplifying the approach, there are a couple of enticing matchups and I was spying the group bets for a change, but hungry, hungry Hayden Buckley is too impressive to ignore.

The PGA TOUR rookie is the only in his class of 27 with as many as two top-10s, and he added a T12 at the Sony Open in Hawaii to pace 24 rookies on Oahu. He led the entire field in fairways hit, ranked second in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and was perfect on 11 attempts from 4-8 feet. As I noted in my commentary here last week, first-timers don’t make much noise in that tournament — oh, he led that contingent, too — so his performance was that much more impressive.

Shifting the focus to the desert, rookies have thrived here. In the last four editions when La Quinta Country Club was included in the rotation (2017-20), of the 83 rookies who have competed, 24 (or 28.9%) finished inside the top 30.

The event not only is a common off-week for more experienced members who would thicken the field, but it also brings the feels of the racetracks that the rookies navigate on the Korn Ferry Tour regularly. Who better than Buckley to keep his rally rolling?

FanDuel has Buckley at +490 for a top-20 finish, but I’ve had it watching too many top-20 props fall just outside that bubble. I want to make the sweat worth it.

Taylor Moore — Top 20 (+320)

Landon Silinsky: Most people do not realize how good Taylor Moore is just yet. He will most assuredly be in the running for rookie of the year in 2022, as I expect him to have a monster season. In his final seven starts on the Korn Ferry Tour before being promoted, Moore went T-7, T-5, WIN, 2nd, MC, T-10, T-10. During his brief stint on TOUR thus far, he's already posted three top-25's, including a T-8 his last time out at the RSM.

He can score like crazy and this event should suit him extremely well with an expected birdie fest on tap. We have seen some serious longshots win this event in the past, and I have no problem throwing a penny or two on Moore at 100/1, but the top-20 is the much safer play.

Get in early on this wunderkind.

Will Zalatoris +5000

Bryan Berryman: Zalatoris’ first career season on TOUR fell short of the lofty expectations many had for him, but it’s hard to argue it was anything other than impressive.

Although the first win proved elusive in his rookie campaign, Zalatoris still had five top-10 finishes, highlighted by a second-place finish at the Masters. It’s clear he is an elite talent who will break through at some point.

I think this week sets up really well for him.

As the sample size grew last season, it became apparent that Zalatoris struggled with courses that required accuracy off the tee instead of distance. Over the last 50 tracked rounds, he ranks 17th in distance, but 113th in this field in driving accuracy.

The three-course rotation this week offers a setup that won’t require supreme accuracy off the tee in order to have looks at birdies. The rough on these courses this time of year are all burnt out, meaning the difficulty of hitting out of it drops significantly. Zalatoris ranks fifth in Strokes Gained: Approach in this field in the 50-round sample size, which should give him plenty of opportunities to score.

I like the value in this number.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout +6000

Josh Perry: Bezuidenhout is coming off a good ball-striking week at the Sony, where he finished 17th. He's been playing consistently well for the past year now, missing just one cut in his last 32 starts bouncing between four different tours.

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