The Denver Nuggets (6-4) and New Orleans Pelicans (4-9) will square off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EST from Smoothie King Center in New Orleans, La. The game will broadcast live on ALT.
The Nuggets are 12.5-point favorites on the spread (Nuggets -12.5), with the over/under set at 235.5 total points. The Nuggets are -597 moneyline favorites to win outright, while the Pelicans are listed as +443 underdogs to pull off the upset.
Let's get into our Nuggets vs. Pelicans predictions and NBA picks for Saturday, November 14.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Prediction
- Nuggets vs Pelicans pick: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points (-115), DeAndre Jordan Under 6.5 Rebounds (-155)
Our Nuggets vs Pelicans best bets are Under 27.5 points for Nikola Jokic and Under 6.5 rebounds for DeAndre Jordan, with the best prices currently available at DraftKings and BetMGM. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.
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Nuggets vs Pelicans Odds
| Nuggets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-12.5 -108 | 235.5 -109o / -111u | -597 |
| Pelicans Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+12.5 -112 | 235.5 -109o / -111u | +443 |
- Nuggets vs Pelicans spread: Nuggets -12.5 (-108), Pelicans +12.5 (-112)
- Nuggets vs Pelicans over/under: 235.5 (-109o / -111u)
- Nuggets vs Pelicans moneyline: Nuggets -597, Pelicans +443
Nuggets vs Pelicans NBA Preview
Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
Denver enters this road matchup at 6-4 (9th in the Western Conference), riding a 123-118 victory over Memphis.
The Nuggets lean heavily on a top-10 offense that ranks 9th in Offensive Rating (117.6) while averaging 114.5 points per game (13th), compensating for a middling defense that sits 22nd in Defensive Rating (116.4).
Denver dictates a deliberate, half-court style, operating at the fourth-slowest pace in the NBA (96.3, 27th of 30). Nikola Jokic has powered that efficiency primarily as a playmaker rather than a high-volume scorer early in the 2026-27 campaign.
Across 10 games, Jokic is averaging 23.5 points, 10.8 rebounds, and 9.0 assists while shooting 50.0% from the field, though his three-point shot has struggled at 23.3%.
New Orleans Pelicans Betting Preview
New Orleans sits at 4-9 (12th in the Western Conference) and enters the second leg of a back-to-back after suffering a 142-111 blowout loss to Memphis on Friday.
Unlike Denver’s methodical approach, the Pelicans play at the fourth-fastest pace in the league (101.0) and rank 10th in scoring at 116.5 points per game.
However, their defense has been a major liability, ranking 28th in Defensive Rating (121.5) and 29th in opponent points per game (125.6), resulting in a -8.9 Net Rating.
Nuggets vs Pelicans Pick, Betting Analysis
NBA PRO Projections highlight two compelling player prop edges for this Western Conference clash. Leading the board with a massive 34.8% edge is DeAndre Jordan Under 6.5 rebounds.
Jordan has seen sporadic usage across 13 team games. After logging seven consecutive DNPs between October 29 and November 9, Jordan returned for 11 minutes off the bench against Brooklyn on November 11 before starting against Memphis on Friday, recording six points and eight rebounds in 17 minutes.
Across four total appearances this season, he is averaging 4.5 points and 6.0 rebounds in 15.3 minutes per night. He already played at home vs. the Nuggets, recording only four boards. Our model forecasts 3.43 for Jordan this evening.
Our second-best edge at 27.7% is Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 points, backed by a projection of 23.28 points. While New Orleans’ 28th-ranked defense looks inviting on paper, Jokic has cleared 27.5 points just twice in 10 games and is shooting only 23.3% from three.
Between Denver’s slow tempo, Jokic’s pass-first approach, and strong blowout potential against a 4-9 Pelicans squad on no rest, Jokic is unlikely to need heavy fourth-quarter scoring volume.
Picks: Nikola Jokic Under 27.5 Points (-115, DraftKings), DeAndre Jordan Under 6.5 Rebounds (-155, BetMGM)
