On this Saturday night, we have the two best words in sports, "Game Seven" as the Spurs and Thunder will play for a spot in the NBA Finals. The Thunder will look to get back to the Finals to defend their championship. Meanwhile, the Spurs will look to join the Thunder as the team everyone thought was "too young to win a title".
MVP Finalists, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama, figure to have a significant impact tonight. Meanwhile, De'Aaron Fox will look to bring out of his shooting slump against Cason Wallace and Oklahoma City's group of perimeter defenders.
Continue below for my NBA same game parlay for Spurs vs. Thunder Game 7 on Saturday, May 30.
NBA Same Game Parlay for Spurs vs Thunder Game 7
The Angle: MVP Candidates Duel In Game 7
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35+ Points & Assists
Facing the top teams in the league, it is not surprising that star players are less efficient in the playoffs.
Gilgeous-Alexander has seen his field goal percentage drop 10 percent (55% to 45%) from the regular season to the postseason. He is down to 37.5% in this series. However, he has struggled more significantly in San Antonio.
At home, SGA has averaged 28.7 points per game in this series while scoring 30 points in two of the three games.
The Spurs have also forced his teammates to beat them. That has caused SGA to take what the defense gives him and average 8.8 assists per game in the series. He has had nine assists or more in all three home games.
As a result, SGA has recorded 35 points and assists combined in four of the first six games in this series. He has cleared this line in all three games at home while averaging 38.7 per game.
Additionally, in two Game 7s at home last year, he recorded 38 and 41 PA. A repeat of one of those performances would easily clear 35 PA tonight.
Pick: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35+ Points + Assists
The Contrarian SGP: Wembanyama Points + Thunder Props
Victor Wembanyama 25+ Points
Wembanyama answered the bell in Game 6 after a lackluster Game 5 performance. He scored 28 points and because the team was able to cruise to another blowout, he only played 28 minutes.
That is important because to defeat the defending champions on the road in a Game 7, Mitch Johnson may need to go to his young star for 40 minutes.
Wembanyama is averaging 37 minutes in the series and if he approaches 40 tonight, he is likely very active as well.
He is averaging 28.2 points per game in the series and has scored 25 points in four of the first six games. He has a 30.2% usage rate in the series and is averaging 19 field goal attempts per game.
He probably attempted more 3s than some would like as he went 4-for-9 from deep on Thursday. He has also made two 3s or more in four of the first six games.
The Spurs may need a few more from him if Fox's struggles continue.
Pick: Victor Wembanyama 25+ Points
De'Aaron Fox Under 14.5 Points
Fox is dealing with a high ankle sprain that would likely sideline him for a couple weeks if this was the regular season.
He has been contributing on the glass and as a playmaker, averaging 6.5 rebounds and 6.5 assists per game in this series. However, he has been unable to get his own offense going in this series.
Fox returned to the lineup after missing Games 1 and 2 and scored 15 points in Game 3. Since then, he has scored 12, nine, and five points in the last three games.
He is now averaging 10.3 points per game in the series while shooting 31.5% from the field and 16.8% from deep.
His usage rate is also down four to five percent from the regular season and first two rounds compared to this series.
Fox is one of the few Spurs' players with Game 7 experience.
However, his first one was not a memorable one for him as he shot 5-for-19 from the field and committed five turnovers as the Kings fell to the Warriors.
If he struggles again, the hook may be short as Johnson went to Dylan Harper just four minutes into Game 6 and he finished with 18 points.
Pick: De'Aaron Fox Under 14.5 Points
Cason Wallace 2+ Steals
The last leg of this parlay is a clear case of "if it ain't broke, don't fix it". Cason Wallace has recorded 2.1 steals per game this postseason, clearing this line in 10 of 14 games.
He has also recorded two steals in 13 of his last 18 games against the Spurs. That includes each of the six games in this series in which he is averaging 2.7 steals per game.
After playing 31 minutes in Game 5, Wallace played just 20 minutes in Game 6. However, that did not stop him from clearing this line as he recorded three steals.
With defense usually taking center stage in a Game 7, I like Wallace to do what he does best and pick off at least two passes tonight.
Pick: Cason Wallace 2+ Steals
Same Game Parlay Building Blocks (+403)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 35+ Points & Assists
- Victor Wembanyama 25+ Points
- De'Aaron Fox Under 14.5 Points
- Cason Wallace 2+ Steals
Compounding Angle (+2982)
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander 40+ Points & Assists
- Victor Wembanyama 30+ Points
- De'Aaron Fox Under 10.5 Points
- Cason Wallace 3+ Steals
