Cleveland Browns Projected for Highest Win Total Since 2007

Cleveland Browns Projected for Highest Win Total Since 2007 article feature image
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Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cleveland Browns offensive coordinator Freddie Kitchens talks with quarterback Baker Mayfield

  • Following a flurry of offseason moves, the Cleveland Browns are projected to have their best season since 2007.
  • By combining strength of schedule and Sean Koerner's NFL power ratings, we break down expectations for the 2019 Cleveland Browns.

The 2019 NFL regular season scheduled has been released, meaning that we can start making meaningful projections regarding the performance of teams for the upcoming season.

After a busy offseason that included acquiring Odell Beckham Jr. from the New York Giants, the Browns’ odds to win Super Bowl 54 skyrocketed to 14-1 at the Westgate SuperBook in Las Vegas.

According to SportsOddsHistory.com, Cleveland’s chances to hoist the Lombardi Trophy have not been this good since 1995, when the team was +1200 prior to the start of the season (and technically a different franchise).

While Super Bowl odds do give us some measure, they truly don’t help us compare expectations from season to season. Luckily for us, we have Director of Predictive Analytics Sean Koerner to not only provide power ratings and projected point spreads for every NFL game this season, but we can also use those to derive expected win totals for the entire league.

Following yesterday’s NFL schedule release, we pegged the Browns with a very easy schedule heading into the 2019 campaign, ranking just 28th out of 32 teams in terms of difficulty of opponents.

 

With this information now at hand — strength of schedule and point spreads for every game — the guys at Bet Labs simulated the upcoming NFL season 10,000 times to determine the most likely records for every team in the league.

After running the numbers, Cleveland checks in with an average of 8.66 wins. Should the Browns manage nine wins, or even eight, it would mark the best season for the team since going 10-6 in 2007.