NHL Odds and Expert Pick: Kraken vs Coyotes Betting Preview for April 10
Photo by Zac BonDurant/Getty Images. Pictured: Arizona Coyotes celebrating.
- The Seattle Kraken head to Arizona for a Monday night date with the Coyotes.
- Seattle is headed to the NHL playoffs and Arizona has been eliminated, but our expert feels there may be value on the underdog.
- Continue reading for Nicholas Martin's analysis and his best bet for Kraken vs Coyotes.
Kraken vs. Coyotes Odds
|Over/Under||6.5 (-120 / -102|
|Time||10 p.m. ET|
|Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.|
The red-hot Kraken have won four consecutive games with a +16 goal differential. Two of those victories came over the Coyotes, including a 4-2 victory on Thursday night in Seattle.
Seattle is priced as a heavy -240 favorite on Monday, but could potentially be in a letdown spot against an Arizona team that has played to a 21-14-4 record at Mullett Arena.
Continue reading for my Kraken vs. Coyotes game preview and best bet.
Seattle has taken full advantage of a very soft schedule down the stretch, and has secured a playoff berth with an impressive 7-2-1 tear.
Overall Seattle’s play has looked well rounded. The Kraken have poured in 4.30 goals per game over their past 10, but also feature a very shaky goaltending tandem. Seattle has played to an incredible 60.87% expected goals share in that span, and has really trended upward defensively with a 2.13 xGA/60.
It is reasonable to argue those marks are largely due to the lesser competition and that versus higher quality teams, Seattle will look far less dominant. Regardless, what Seattle has done lately is still impressive.
Seattle’s goaltending situation remains the greatest concern, and could be a critical flaw when the offense inevitably starts to finish chances at a rate closer to league average.
Philipp Grubauer will likely be the Game 1 starter in the postseason. Grubauer has played to a -1.3 GSAx and an .893 save % in 37 games played. Grubauer will likely make this start, but it is also possible Joey Daccord makes a surprise start here with nothing on the line.
Seattle has shot 10.72% at even strength through 79 games this season, a historically high clip. It does feature an above average amount of finishers down the lineup, but a lack of truly elite players could prove to be a concern come the postseason.
It’s not often a 70-point team can say it’s proud of its regular season, but the 2022-23 Coyotes might be a rare exception. Arizona was the preseason betting favorite to finish last in the NHL, but has overachieved expectations and is on track to finish above five teams.
The Coyotes have vastly overachieved on home ice with a 21-14-4 record, and have been consistently undervalued by oddsmakers. As a result, Arizona has the highest ROI% in the league at home.
Coach Andre Tourigny’s group has consistently played a well structured game and, more often than not, has brought a notably high level of fight to each contest.
Karel Vejmelka and Connor Ingram compile a far better goaltending tandem than other lottery sides have to offer.
Vejmelka will likely start Monday, and has played to a +13.3 GSAx rating and a .943 save % in 49 appearances.
Kraken vs. Coyotes Pick
Arizona has competed well on home ice and I believe oddsmakers are giving a little too much respect to the Kraken in this specific spot.
The Coyotes will hold a considerable edge in goal with either Vejmelka or Ingram versus Jones or Daccord, and I believe the game play could run closer to 50/50 in this spot than in a normal battle between these sides.
All of Seattle’s goaltending options are capable of blowup nights, which is an excellent reason why the scrappy Coyotes could steal this contest as a heavy underdog.
So, +200 is a great price to back Arizona on home ice. However, that price has the potential to become even better depending on Seattle’s lineup as any player who is slightly dinged up will likely begin resting for the playoffs.
Pick: Coyotes Moneyline
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