Super Bowl MVP Odds, Picks, Predictions: Patrick Mahomes Wins Super Bowl MVP
Ezra Shaw/Getty. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.
Editor’s Note: Post was originally published prior to the Super Bowl’s opening kick.
Super Bowl MVP Winner
Patrick Mahomes was named Super Bowl MVP, cashing his pre-game price of +130 to go along with the Chiefs moneyline of +104.
Mahomes had 182 yards and three touchdowns on a 21-of-27 performance. He also totaled 44 rushing yards.
Halftime Super Bowl MVP Odds
The Super Bowl MVP odds have shifted following an electric first half. The Eagles lead the Chiefs 24-14 with Jalen Hurts accounting for a passing touchdown and two rushing touchdowns.
Here are the updated Super Bowl MVP odds at halftime, and Hurts is a significant favorite at -350.
Super Bowl MVP Odds
The Super Bowl MVP odds are getting adjusted by the minute as the big Chiefs vs. Eagles game quickly approaches, with bettors getting last-second wagers in on players to have big performances.
Patrick Mahomes (+130) and Jalen Hurts (+150) currently have the best odds to win, followed by Travis Kelce (+1100) and A.J. Brown (+1600). You can find the full Super Bowl MVP odds below.
All odds are updated via BetMGM as of 5 p.m. ET.
2022 Super Bowl MVP Predictions
DeVonta Smith (+2500)
Brandon Anderson: DeVonta Smith is my most likely non-QB MVP and my favorite pick on the board. Naturally, he’s one of my Super Bowl best bets.
I have Smith winning MVP in about 15% of all Eagles victories — and I like Philly to win — so my numbers would make Smith around +1000 and a clear third favorite. He’s almost twice the price of A.J. Brown despite outproducing him down the stretch. Oh, and two of the last four Super Bowl MVPs have been wide receivers.
Smith is the one bet you have to make to win MVP and by far the best value on the board.
Ricky Henne: Do I expect DeVonta Smith to take home MVP honors? No. That would be foolish. After all, only eight wide receivers have ever been named MVP. But do I love the value here? Abso-freakin’-lutely.
I can write 3,000 words on why I’m putting a sprinkle on Smith at +2500, but what I really want to use this space for is to remind folks what he did in the 2021 College Football National Championship Game with Alabama.
As I noted in my breakdown of his props, Smith showed he can put on a transcendent performance on a massive stage. He torched Ohio State with 12 catches for 215 yards and three touchdowns that night … doing all his damage in the first half alone. Smith dislocated his finger on the second play of the second half and missed the rest of the game, but can you imagine what his final stat line might have looked like if he stayed healthy?
Pick: DeVonta Smith MVP
Miles Sanders (+2000)
Anderson: If you think the Eagles roll on the ground and win convincingly, Sanders might be your bet.
The Eagles are first in rushing DVOA, EPA and explosive run plays while the Chiefs are last in ESPN’s run-stop metric. The best defense against Kansas City might just be long, sustained running drives and continued handoffs to Sanders and the other RBs while Mahomes watches on the sideline.
Sanders is a boom-or-bust pick, but if he scores multiple TDs and cracks 100 yards on the ground, he could be the first Super Bowl MVP running back since Terrell Davis in 1998.
Pick: Miles Sanders MVP
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