Bills vs Texans Odds & Live Scores - November 20, 2025

Bills at Texans

1:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Buffalo Bills

7-1

19 - 23

Houston Texans

3-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Bills 7-1	-4.5-110	o44-112	-240
Texans 3-5	+4.5-110	u44-107	+197

Friday 1:15 a.m.

November 21, 2025

Reliant StadiumHouston

HOU +5.5-105

1.9u

HOU +5.5-108

HOU +5.5-110

HOU +7.5 (Live)-115

0.13u

HOU +5.5-110

K.Lassiter o7.5 Tackles + Ast+383

0.2u

🪜

N.Collins u5.5 Recs+105

0.53u

Full write up/article in the app

K.Lassiter o5.5 Tackles + Ast+106

0.5u

On the surface this looks like a pretty fair number for Lassiter. He’s averaging 5.8 tackles a game, but my projections flagged this as a potential eruption spot, and it’s easy to see why. The Texans have an elite defense and rank 3rd in average time of possession, so it’s not too surprising they’ve allowed the 4th fewest plays per game. However, they face a Bills offense that ranks 2nd in time of possession, and I’m projecting the Texans to face more play volume tonight with about +1.4 more completions than their season average and, more importantly, +5.9 more rush attempts. Lassiter is a CB who is heavily involved in run defense and actually leads all cornerbacks in run tackles, three more than the next closest player. This matchup specifically favors him. He’s also faced one of the toughest schedules for a CB, and I project him for +5.8 more tackles on the season (+0.58 per game) if he had faced a league-average slate. The Bills provide the 2nd most tackle opportunities to CBs, making this by far his best matchup of the season. The only two teams he’s faced with above-average CB tackle opportunity rates were the Rams (he had 9) and the Broncos (he had 10, and yes, if you remember, I was on his over in that game too). This is the perfect spot for him to rack up 6+ tackles. I’m projecting him closer to 6.7 with around a 65% chance he clears 5.5, and we are also getting plus odds. I’m also going to ladder this. Since the market moves too fast for me to grab multiple rungs, I usually need to pick the one offering the most value. I’m going with 8+ at +383, which I project closer to +180. If you want to sprinkle on any other alts, go for it, because every single one is showing value until the market inevitably moves within minutes.

HOU +3.5 (1H)-115

0.5u

Full write up will be in my TNF betting preview. Out first thing tomorrow

Under 44.5-110

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105

0.5u

C.Kirk o11.5 Rec Yds-110

0.5u

C.Kirk o1.5 Recs-110

0.5u

N.Chubb o9.5 Rush Att+750

0.2u

N.Chubb o7.5 Rush Att+200

0.25u

N.Chubb o5.5 Rush Att-120

0.5u

W.Marks u66.5 Rush Yds-120

0.6u

D.Mills o7.5 Rush Yds (Live)-114

Placed pregame

T.Shavers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500

$1.00

J.Cook o79.5 Rush Yds+120

$1.20

J.Cook o89.5 Rush + Rec Yds-135

$1.00

BUF -5.5-110

$1.10

J.Cook Anytime TD Scorer Yes-105

$1.00

K.Coleman 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+1500

0.1u

K.Coleman 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+270

0.1u

T.Shavers 30+ Receiving Yards Yes+146

0.1u

T.Shavers 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+600

0.1u

T.Shavers 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+400

0.1u

T.Shavers 40+ Receiving Yards Yes+240

0.1u

T.Shavers Anytime TD Scorer Yes+500

0.25u

T.Shavers o21.5 Rec Yds-114

0.57u

K.Coleman o21.5 Rec Yds-114

0.57u

K.Coleman 30+ Receiving Yards Yes+154

0.2u

K.Coleman 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+990

0.1u

T.Shavers 80+ Receiving Yards Yes+1200

0.1u

T.Shavers 70+ Receiving Yards Yes+850

0.1u

K.Shakir Anytime TD Scorer Yes+310

0.25u

K.Coleman 60+ Receiving Yards Yes+680

0.1u

K.Coleman 50+ Receiving Yards Yes+475

0.1u

HOU +3.5-110

0.91u

N.Collins u5.5 Recs+100

0.5u

K.Lassiter o5.5 Tackles + Ast+106

0.5u

HOU +3.5 (1H)-120

0.5u

BUF -6-105

Link in Bio for early access

K.Shakir o42.5 Rec Yds-112

1.5u

@RoyalsProps model play

J.Allen o21.5 Rush Yds (Live)-125

1.25u

HOU +5.5+100

0.5u

I don’t often play these Thursday night games, but this line just feels way off. I make it below a field goal even without Stroud. Houston defense really messed with Allen last time, and Texans have five losses by one score this season, three which would have covered this number. I really think the Texans are live to win outright.

BUF u24.5-115

W.Marks o10.5 Rec Yds-115

1.15u

J.Allen Anytime TD Scorer Yes-112

1.12u

Great price here. NINE rushing tds from Week 10-Week 16 last year and he’s going to start pouring it on again as the Bills push for the AFC East.

Under 43.5-104

Houston under vs winning teams under Ryans: 17-6. Allen 37-22 to the under on the road.

K.Shakir o42.5 Rec Yds-110

D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+400

0.5u

J.Higgins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+525

2.63u

D.Mills Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1400

0.25u

HOU +5.5-110

0.5u

HOU +3.5 (1H)-125

0.2u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

HOU +225

0.56u

HOU +3.5 (1H)-122

0.25u

Action Instagram channel best bet - let’s ride 🚀

N.Collins u5.5 Recs+105

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

J.Palmer o2.5 Recs+110

1.6u

7.16% ev

J.Higgins u2.5 Recs+110

0.8u

3.31% ev

J.Allen o1.5 Pass TDs+132

5.44% ev

D.Knox o2.5 Recs+110

0.88u

3.47% ev

HOU +140 (1Q)

0.3u

1.92% ev

W.Marks Anytime TD Scorer Yes+115

I am hard

Over 41.5 (Live)+102

1.02u

W.Marks 2+ TDs Yes+850

0.25u

Huge woody guy

W.Marks o61.5 Rush Yds-110

0.91u

I got a woody

HOU +6.5 (Live)-110

0.91u

Value

J.Higgins o27.5 Rec Yds-118

0.85u

G.Davis o20.5 Rec Yds-120

0.83u

Under 43.5-105

BUF -3.5 (1H)+100

K.Shakir Anytime TD Scorer Yes+310

0.5u

N.Chubb o20.5 Rush Yds-115

1.15u

Under 44.5-115

0.87u

K.Lassiter o5.5 Tackles + Ast-104

G.Davis Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550

0.25u

Jackcock Entry

BUF -5.5-101

1.01u

HOU +6-105

0.95u

J.Higgins o26.5 Rec Yds-118

0.42u

Over 44-110

1.1u

K.Shakir o41.5 Rec Yds-112

THE BLITZ is forecasting 72.88 receiving yards for Khalil Shakir. The oddsmakers' implied projection is 51.31 receiving yards, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the over, you’d be projected to win 72% of the time resulting in a 37% ROI with expected value of $41.32 (based on a $100 wager). (This play is good down to at least -169.) Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Koerner & Raybon's Week 12 Spreads & Totals
Sean Koerner•
Nov 22, 2025 UTC
Koerner's Week 12 Pick'em & Confidence Rankings
Sean Koerner•
Nov 22, 2025 UTC
Bills vs. Texans Best Bets: 6 Picks, Props for Thursday Night Football
Action Network Staff•
Nov 20, 2025 UTC
NFL Week 12 Picks: Pass or Play for Every Game
Kenny Ducey•
Nov 20, 2025 UTC

See more NFL Coverage

There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.

Loading props…

NFL Public Betting

Texans are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Texans are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Texans are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Texans' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Texans' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	3-5	0-4	2-1	2-4	1-1
Bills	6-2	3-1	3-1	5-2	1-0

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Texans	5-3	3-1	1-2	3-3	2-0
Bills	5-3	2-2	3-1	4-3	1-0

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Texans	3-5	N/A	N/A	2-4	1-1
Bills	7-1	N/A	N/A	6-1	1-0

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Nov 16th	@TEN	W 16-13	-5.5 L	U 37.5	HOU -255
Nov 9th	JAC	W 36-29	+1.5 W	O 37.5	HOU -111
Nov 2nd	DEN	L 15-18	-	-	-
Oct 26th	SF	W 26-15	-3 W	U 41.5	HOU -160
Oct 21st	@SEA	L 19-27	+3 L	O 41.5	SEA +140

Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with hamstring
Out

David Montgomery
RB
Montgomery is doubtful with groin
Doubtful
British Brooks
RB
Brooks is out with hamstring
Out
Jaylin Noel
WR
Noel is out with toe
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Bills

Total

Texans

326

Total Yards

261

Total Plays

4.9

Yards Per Play

4.7

Bills

Passing

Texans

253

YDS

153

24/34

Comps/Atts

16/30

4.357

YPA

5.1

0/2

TDs/INTs

2/0

8/70

Sacks/Yards

0/0

Bills

Rushing

Texans

143

Rush Yards

108

Attempts

5.958

YPC

4.154

TDs

Bills

Turnovers

Texans

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Bills

Efficiency

Texans

0/2 0%

Redzone

2/4 50%

5/16 0%

3rd Down

2/12 0%

3/5 0%

4th Down

1/1 0%

Bills

First Downs

Texans

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Bills

Misc

Texans

6/54

Penalties/Yards

5/40

32:22

Possession

27:38

Could not load odds

See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Bills 7-1	N/A	N/A
Texans 3-5	N/A	N/A

Bills vs. Texans Odds & Betting Predictions - November 21, 2025

Bills at Texans

Buffalo Bills

Houston Texans

Bills at Texans Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Bills vs. Texans Previews & Analysis

Koerner & Raybon's Week 12 Spreads & Totals

Koerner's Week 12 Pick'em & Confidence Rankings

Bills vs. Texans Best Bets: 6 Picks, Props for Thursday Night Football

NFL Week 12 Picks: Pass or Play for Every Game

Bills vs. Texans Props

Prop Projections

Prop Odds Comparison

Line Movement Tracker

Bills vs. Texans Public Betting Percentages

Bills

Public

Texans

Bets%

Money%

Betting Trends

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Bills vs. Texans Injury Updates

Bills Injuries

Texans Injuries

Bills vs. Texans Odds Comparison

Bills at Texans Team Totals