Super Bowl Game Props: 4 Unique Bets on First Timeout & Kickoff, MVP, More
Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes.
There's no game for bettors like this, as there are more Super Bowlprops available than any other sporting event in the world.
Our staff of betting analysts has dug deep into what sportsbooks are offering in terms of Chiefs vs. Eagles props, and they've found their favorites. Hopefully you're a fan of special teams, because two of them involve kicking the ball.
Check out our favorite Chiefs-Eagles game props to bet below.
Super Bowl Game Props
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Sean Koerner: It seems like this market would be similar to the coin toss, where it’s more of a 50/50 type of prop that comes down to luck, but that's not the case.
Some coaches are more likely to “waste” timeouts than others — those would be considered timeouts early in the half in order to stop play for either the offense or defense. This can be due to various reasons, like trying to prevent a delay of game penalty, not having the right personnel on the field, etc. Ideally, coaches would be able to save timeouts for the end of each half in order to stop the clock strategically.
On the season, the Chiefs have called the first timeout in 15-of-19 games (79%) — 12 of those first timeouts were of the “waste” variety by Andy Reid. Since he’s come into the league, Nick Sirianni has been one of the most efficient coaches when it comes to not wasting timeouts. This season, he’s only called the first timeout in 7-of-19 games (37%) — five of those have been of the “waste” variety.
Reid seems much more likely to waste a timeout before Sirianni and I would say there is a 60-65% chance Kansas City calls the first one. I like the value we are getting at -105 and I would bet this to -135 or so.
To find this bet, go to the Chiefs vs. Eagles game page on BetMGM for "Novelty Props." You can bet this under "Team Props" on bet365 in Colorado or Canada.
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Chris Raybon:Eagles kicker Jake Elliott has produced a touchback on 68 of 104 kickoffs (65.3%) and Chiefs kicker Harrison Butker has done so on 50 of 80 (62.5%). Those numbers sell their true probability of a touchback short, however, as both kickers play their home games outdoors.
If we look only at indoor/retractable roof stadiums, Elliott has boomed a touchback on 22 of 23 opportunities (95.7%) and Butker has gone 15-of-18 (83.3%).
Pick: Opening Kickoff To Be a Touchback — Yes (-160) |
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Ricky Henne: Do I expect DeVonta Smith to take home MVP honors?
No. That would be foolish. After all, only eight wide receivers have ever been named MVP.
But do I love the value here?
Abso-freakin’-lutely.
I can write 3,000 words on why I’m putting a taste on Smith at +3000, but what I really want to use this space for is to remind folks what he did in the 2021 College Football National Championship Game with Alabama.
As I noted in my breakdown of his props, Smith showed he can put on a transcendent performance on a massive stage. He torched Ohio State with 12 catches for 215 yards and three touchdowns that night … doing all his damage in the first half alone. Smith dislocated his finger on the second play of the second half and missed the rest of the game, but can you imagine what his final stat line might have looked like if he stayed healthy?
Some players simply have a knack for shining brightest when it matters most, and Smith appears to fall into that category.
By the way, although only eight wideouts have captured MVP honors, two of them have come in the last four years (Julian Edelman in 2019 and Cooper Kupp in 2022). There’s reason to believe voters are putting more stock in wideout performances, so why not take a stab on Smith?
Pick: DeVonta Smith Super Bowl MVP +3300 |
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Sean Koerner: Looking at both teams' actual game logs, you see Harrison Butker has made a 33-plus yarder in seven of 15 games (47%) while Jake Elliott has made one in 6-of-18 (33%).
I have this close to a 64% chance of “No” hitting based on both kickers' stats this season. A lot of this has to do with the Eagles passing up field goals at the highest rate this year. One has to imagine they will be even more aggressive against the Chiefs.
Based on my sims, there’s about a 34% chance either the Chiefs or Eagles don’t make a field goal and this is an automatic winner. There’s around an 8% chance both make a field goal, but one team doesn’t have one 33 yards or longer.
This comes out to around a 42% chance both teams make at least a 33-yard FG, so there’s a 58% chance this bet hits.
This prop can be found on DraftKings in the Super Bowl Specials section under “Kick Props.”
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