Election Betting Odds

Nancy Pelosi’s Odds to Be the Next Speaker of the House

We’re heading down the home stretch for the 2018 midterm elections. With fewer than three weeks to go until Nov. 6, bookmakers are posting new prop bets and

Josh Appelbaum
Oct 19, 2018 / 4:31 PM UTC

2018 Midterm Election Betting: State-By-State Senate Race Odds

On Nov. 6, millions of Americans will head to the polls to vote in the midterm elections. Historically, midterm elections are viewed as a referendum on the President, with the

Josh Appelbaum
Oct 11, 2018 / 8:07 PM UTC

Tennessee Senate Race Odds Shift Following Taylor Swift Endorsement

On PredictIt, a politics prediction marketplace, users can buy shares of either side of a betting prop. This weekend, with the “Which party will win the U.S. Senate

Bryan Mears
Oct 10, 2018 / 4:00 AM UTC

Brett Kavanaugh Now Massive Favorite to Be Confirmed Following FBI Report

On Thursday morning, the FBI wrapped up its week-long investigation into sexual assault allegations against Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh. According to the White House, the report found no corroborating

Josh Appelbaum
Oct 4, 2018 / 5:42 PM UTC

2018 Midterm Election Odds: Republicans Large Favorites to Retain Senate Majority

The 2018 midterm elections are just a little more than a month away, so let’s take a look at how a variety of betting and prediction markets peg

Bryan Mears
Oct 4, 2018 / 5:28 PM UTC

Beto O’Rourke vs. Ted Cruz Odds: What the Betting Market Says About Texas Senate Race

Texas Senate candidate Beto O’Rourke has been gaining steam in the media for his grassroots campaign against incumbent Ted Cruz. He’s close in the polling, but

Bryan Mears
Oct 1, 2018 / 2:24 AM UTC

Kavanaugh Odds: Confirmation a Virtual Lock According to Betting Market

Political followers and bettors alike witnessed a whirlwind roller coaster like no other yesterday when Brett Kavanaugh and his accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, took the stand on Capitol Hill. Blasey

Josh Appelbaum
Sep 28, 2018 / 5:13 PM UTC

Kavanaugh’s Testimony Completely Flips Confirmation Odds

Thursday was a whirlwind day on Capitol Hill, with Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh and Christine Blasey Ford both taking the stand before the Senate Judiciary Committee. During Ford’

Scott T. Miller
Sep 28, 2018 / 1:38 AM UTC

Kavanaugh Confirmation Odds Tank After Blasey Ford’s Testimony

On Thursday, the Brett Kavanaugh Supreme Court saga reached a tipping point as Kavanaugh’s accuser, Christine Blasey Ford, gave her much-anticipated testimony to the Senate Judiciary Committee. In

Josh Appelbaum
Sep 27, 2018 / 5:30 PM UTC

Kavanaugh’s Confirmation Odds Plummet Following Latest Allegations

On Friday — just three short days ago — Brett Kavanaugh’s odds of being confirmed to the Supreme Court were sitting pretty. He had a 71.4% chance

Josh Appelbaum
Sep 24, 2018 / 6:49 PM UTC

Brett Kavanaugh’s Confirmation Chances Improving in Betting Market

A little more than a week ago, the political world was turned upside down when decades-old sexual assault allegations surfaced against President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh,

Josh Appelbaum
Sep 21, 2018 / 7:11 PM UTC

Brett Kavanaugh’s Confirmation Odds Keep Getting Worse Amid Sexual Assault Allegations

Two months ago, it seemed like Brett Kavanaugh was a shoo-in to be confirmed to the U.S. Supreme Court. However, over the past week, decades-old allegations of sexual misconduct

Josh Appelbaum
Sep 18, 2018 / 4:20 AM UTC

2018 Midterm Election Odds: Using FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Model to Find Betting Value

Nate Silver and Co. at ABC News’ FiveThirtyEight.com have released their model predicting the 2018 Senate race in the November midterms. Unlike the House of Representatives, in which

Bryan Mears
Sep 14, 2018 / 9:04 PM UTC

Sportsbook Posts Odds on Identity of Anonymous New York Times Op-ed Writer Inside Trump White House

On Wednesday, the New York Times published an op-ed entitled “I Am Part of the Resistance Inside the Trump Administration.” It is reportedly written by a senior official

Bryan Mears
Sep 6, 2018 / 3:57 PM UTC

Trump Impeachment Odds Rising Amid Bob Woodward’s Book Release

The impeachment odds for President Donald Trump skyrocketed a couple of weeks ago following the guilty plea of Michael Cohen (Trump’s longtime personal lawyer) and conviction of Paul

Bryan Mears
Sep 5, 2018 / 6:48 PM UTC