Promoguy’s Vegas Fantasy Football Rankings, Week 11

We debuted Vegas-style fantasy football rankings prior to this NFL season.

We used season-long prop lines for each player to project fantasy points, using the wisdom-of-the-crowds approach embedded in betting markets to find players undervalued and overvalued by fantasy experts.

For example: if a receiver was listed at 6 catches, 60 yards and 0.5 TDs in the prop market, he'd be projected for 15 points in full PPR, and 9 points in standard formats.

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We'll be doing the same on a game-by-game basis, using props from that week's games to create fantasy rankings. While you'll be starting most of the players listed anyway, these rankings can be a good way to find DFS value or make tough lineup decisions early in the season.

Here's how things shook out for quarterbacks, running backs and wide receivers for Week 11 in all formats, with some notes below.

Cardinals WR De'Andre Hopkins is not listed due to his questionable status.

Quarterback

• QB has been the same story for most of the season, with Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes leading the way, but rushing-heavy quarterbacks getting a bump into the top 12. That's the case again this week with Justin Fields at QB5, and Daniel Jones at QB9.
• Allen is a pretty heavy No. 1 as his Bills take on the Browns in a dome at Ford Field in Detroit.
• Matthew Stafford is all the way down at QB23, ahead of only Zach Wilson and Baker Mayfield.

Running Back

• Jonathan Taylor is back in the good graces of the prop market after a strong game in Week 10. He's up to No. 3 in standard and half-PPR and No. 4 in PPR.
• Dameon Pierce cracks the top 10 in all formats, higher than consensus fantasy rankings. Devin Singletary also gets a bump in our rankings with a high-scoring game projected in Detroit.
• Tony Pollard is lower in our rankings than in fantasy rankings with Ezekiel Elliott expected to return.

Wide Receiver

• Kadarius Toney is in an ideal spot with the Chiefs down several key receivers. He's top 15 in all formats in our rankings, while fantasy rankers have him around WR25. Our ratings are not as kind to Deebo Samuel, who has seen his target share decrease with Christian McCaffrey in San Francisco.
• As usual, the prop market is higher on Tee Higgins than fantasy rankings. He's top 6 in all formats.
• Mike Williams also gets a huge bump in our rankings, up at WR8. He's outside the top 25 in consensus fantasy rankings.

Tight End

• George Kittle is a bit lower in our rankings, especially in PPR. He's behind Hayden Hurt, Tyler Higbee and T.J. Hockenson.
• The volume is there for Greg Dulcich and the prop market likes him this week, as he's our TE7.