Mavericks vs. Pacers Odds & Betting Predictions - March 19, 2025

Indiana’s offense at home is elite—118.8 PPG, 50.2% FG, 38.3% 3PT. They thrive in transition and lead the league in Assists/FGM (2.29). Dallas’ defense is collapsing—allowing 128.6 PPG over their last five. Opponents are torching them from deep (39.2% 3PT), and without a true rim protector, Indiana’s efficiency should spike. Dallas is missing key pieces—Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum are all out. That leaves them vulnerable in the paint against Pascal Siakam (52.4% FG) and Myles Turner (if available). Pacers bench is producing—eight players in double figures last game, and Obi Toppin just dropped 34. Dallas’ offense, without Kyrie, is one-dimensional, relying on P.J. Washington. Pacers have dominated this matchup—won last three by 7, 26, and 17 points. Mavericks are 1-9 ATS in their last 10, struggling badly on defense. Pacers control tempo, shoot better, and have more depth. With home-court advantage and the Mavericks in free fall, Indiana should win big.