The UTSA Roadrunners take on the North Texas Mean Green in Denton, TX. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+.
North Texas is favored by -4 points on the spread with a moneyline of -190. The total is set at 67.5 points.
Here’s my UTSA vs. North Texas prediction and college football picks for Saturday, October 18, 2025.
UTSA vs North Texas Prediction
- UTSA vs. North Texas Pick: UTSA +4.5
My North Texas vs. UTSA best bet is on UTSA to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
UTSA vs North Texas Odds
| UTSA Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4 -110 | 67.5 -110o / -110u | +160 |
| North Texas Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4 -110 | 67.5 -110o / -110u | -190 |
- UTSA vs North Texas point spread: North Texas -4
- UTSA vs North Texas over/under: 67.5 points
- UTSA vs North Texas moneyline: UTSA +160, North Texas -190
UTSA vs North Texas Pick, Betting Analysis
UTSA is coming off a 61-13 victory over Rice last week, but now it's running into 5-1 North Texas, which just got obliterated by USF, 63-36, last week to notch its first loss of the season.
Will the Mean Green bounce back and cover the spread in the process in a C-USA affair?
Our "Mature Market Moves" system created by our very own Evan Abrams says no.
The system has a 13% return on investment (ROI) since its inception and a 10% ROI this season alone (7-5-2 record overall).
"Mature Market Moves" is a college football system that capitalizes on the influence of sharp money when it differs meaningfully from public betting patterns.
In the regular season, when the spread falls between one and six points, these games are often competitive and decided by narrow margins where line efficiency is critical.
By isolating matchups where the percentage of money wagered is significantly higher than the percentage of tickets, the system highlights situations where larger, more informed bets are backing one side while casual bettors are spread differently.
Limiting the sample to games five and later ensures teams have established trends and reliable data for sharper action to target.
This combination of close spreads, mature markets and a clear split between sharp money and public opinion creates an edge where following the money side outperforms expectations.
Pick: UTSA +4.5
