Clyde Edwards-Helaire Player Props: Expert Backing RB in Raiders vs Chiefs
Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images. Pictured: Clyde Edwards-Helaire.
Clyde Edwards-Helaire Receiving Yards
|Prop||Edwards-Helaire Over 17.5 Receiving Yards|
|Matchup||Raiders vs. Chiefs|
|Day, Time||Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET|
When it comes to running back receiver production in general, it typically comes on third downs or in a 2-minute/hurry-up offense. Clyde Edwards-Helaire is only in on early downs, but the Chiefs have a unique offense where that actually increases his chances of getting targeted.
The Chiefs throw at the highest rate in the NFL on early downs in neutral game scripts. Patrick Mahomes also targets his running backs at a much higher rate on early downs (16%) than he does on third down (9%).
That's why it's not a surprise that Edwards-Helaire has sailed over this total in three of four games this season. The only time he didn't was last week, despite having a season-high 51% route participation. He also dropped a pass on fourth down on which he was wide open and could have broken for 20 or more yards.
Mahomes could lean on Edwards-Helaire more against a Raiders defense that ranks 28th in DVOA against opposing RBs in the passing game.
JuJu Smith-Schuster had his hamstring tighten up on Saturday and might not be 100% for this game. That could lead to an extra target or two for Edwards-Helaire.