Mavericks vs. Kings Odds & Betting Predictions - April 17, 2025

Mavericks at Kings

2:00 am • ESPN

Dallas Mavericks

39-43

120

120 - 106

Sacramento Kings

40-42

106

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 39-43	+5	+6-110	o213.5-110	+190
Kings 40-42	u221.5	-6-110	u213.5-110	-230

Thursday 2:00 a.m.

April 17, 2025

Golden 1 CenterSacramento

SAC +16.5 (Live)-115

SAC o104.5 Team Total (Live)-102

DAL +195 (1H)

1.95u

DAL +205

2.05u

K.Thompson u13.5 Pts-120

1.2u

A.Davis o25.5 Pts-115

D.DeRozan o23.5 Pts-120

K.Ellis o9.5 Pts+102

DAL +4.5-110

Under 213.5-108

1.08u

Under 213.5-105

Z.LaVine u24.5 Pts-125

0.25u

Tailing @PropBomb

Z.LaVine u24.5 Pts-125

0.5u

#Tailing @PropBomb

Z.LaVine u24.5 Pts-125

Mavs are loaded on defense. With Malik Monk out, expect LaVine to see more concentrated, high-intensity defensive attention. Yes, he averages 25.4 PPG per 42 minutes without Monk, but that’s been fueled by an unsustainable 60.5 eFG%—a number likely to regress into the low 50s with added playoff-level pressure. In three games without Monk, LaVine has averaged 19.7 PPG, scoring 14 against Boston, 19 against OKC, and 26 against the Clippers. Tonight presents his toughest challenge yet. Dallas holds a 99.0 defensive rating when Anthony Davis and Dereck Lively share the floor, and LaVine will have to work through elite point-of-attack defenders like Naji Marshall and Max Christie. On switches, he’ll face length and physicality from Klay Thompson, PJ Washington, and AD. With Lively and Gafford protecting the rim, clean looks inside will be hard to come by. #PlayerProps

DAL +5-105

0.95u

DAL +5.5-116

0.86u

Jefe hammer me

K.Murray u12.5 Pts+112

1.57u

6.69% ev

Over 108.5 (1H)-110

0.64u

2.63% ev

D.Carter o3.5 Pts-110

K.Murray o17.5 Pts+Rebs-118

1.18u

D.Sabonis o13.5 Rebs-110

1.1u

SAC -4.5-110

0.9u

3.35% ev

Z.LaVine o33.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+116

5.06% ev

Over 213.5-105

SAC -9.5+193

0.5u

10 seeds are 2-8 SU in the play-in, 7 of 8 losses by double digits, avg margin of defeat 15 pts. Mavs pretty all or nothing, and these 10 seeds are letting go of the rope. Let's have a little fun with some bad games https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-play-in-tournament-betting-trends-stats-notes

K.Murray o5.5 Rebs+100

0.25u

Tailing @JoeDellera

A.Davis o41.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115

1.15u

MGM

T.Lyles o11.5 Pts+Rebs-128

K.Murray o5.5 Rebs+100

D.Gafford o8.5 Pts+100

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T.Lyles o7.5 Pts+115

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Over 213.5-110

1.36u

A.Davis o41.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-110

1.1u

4.04% ev

D.DeRozan o34.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+106

1.06u

4.34% ev

DAL +4.5-105

2.86u

P.Washington o5.5 Rebs-113

0.97u

4.08% ev

SAC -2.5-148

0.6u

1.63% ev

K.Thompson u18.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast+108

4.33% ev

SAC -4.5-110

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Mavericks-Kings OVERTIME YES+1400

0.25u

T.Lyles o5.5 Rebs+138

0.83u

3.41% ev

A.Davis u0.5 3pt M+165

0.5u

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No props found

NBA Public Betting

Kings are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Kings are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Kings are 24-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Kings' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Kings' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	42-39-1	18-23	24-16-1	25-29-1	17-10
Mavericks	48-34	21-20	27-14	32-18	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Kings	36-45-1	22-19	14-26-1	27-28	9-17-1
Mavericks	36-45-1	16-25	20-20-1	22-28	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Kings	40-42	24-17	22-19	34-21	12-15
Mavericks	13-9	N/A	N/A	37-13	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	PHX	W 109-98	-14 L	U 222.5	SAC -900
Apr 12th	LAC	L 100-101	+7 W	U 224.5	LAC +220
Apr 10th	DEN	L 116-124	+4.5 L	O 234.5	DEN +165
Apr 7th	@DET	W 127-117	+5.5 W	O 231	SAC +164
Apr 6th	@CLE	W 120-113	+9.5 W	U 238	SAC +325