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49ers vs. Seahawks Odds & Player Props: How to Bet Geno Smith on TNF

49ers vs. Seahawks Odds & Player Props: How to Bet Geno Smith on TNF article feature image
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Photo by Michael Owens/Getty Images. Pictured: Geno Smith.

  • Geno Smith and the Seattle Seahawks host Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers in Thursday Night Football action.
  • Smith has cleared his passing attempts number in only four of his 13 games this season, and Sean Koerner is fading him.
  • Check out Koerner's top player prop for the 49ers vs. Seahawks Thursday Night Football game below.

Follow Sean Koerner in the Action App to get all his betting picks.


Geno Smith Pass Attempts

Prop Geno Smith Under 34.5 Pass Attempts (-120)
Matchup 49ers vs. Seahawks
Day, Time Thursday, 8:15 p.m. ET
Best Book bet365

While Geno Smith has exceeded 34.5 pass attempts in three straight games, he’s only cleared this figure in four of 13 contests.

Injuries have helped him go over of late – in Week 13, Kenneth Walker exited early with an ankle issue, which caused the Seahawks to abandon the run. In Week 14, they were without both Walker and backup DeeJay Dallas, who was also dealing with an ankle injury.

Tonight, however, Walker is off the injury report and I expect Seattle to be more balanced as a result. Given that I also like the Seahawks to cover the spread (+3.5), this correlates perfectly.

The 49ers, who have allowed the third-fewest plays per game, should limit the overall number of plays run. On offense, they are adept at engineering long drives with their slow pace and efficient, run-heavy attack. Look for them to lean on the run heavily and keep Seattle’s offense on the sideline.

I’m projecting Smith around 32.5 pass attempts. Every attempt is worth around 6-7%, so it’s critical to get this prop at 34.5. I don’t mind 33.5 either, but I obviously don’t like that as much.

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