The Cincinnati Reds host the Philadelphia Phillies on July 9, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET. The game will be broadcast on CINR.
The Phillies are favored by -160 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +135 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Reds Prediction
- Phillies vs Reds Pick: Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+115)
My Phillies vs Reds best bet is on Jesus Luzardo to record eight or more strikeouts in this game. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Reds Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -105 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | -160 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -115 | 9.5 -105o / -115u | +135 |
- Phillies vs Reds moneyline: Phillies -160, Reds +135
- Phillies vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Phillies vs Reds spread: Phillies -1.5 (-105), Reds +1.5 (-115)
Phillies vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Jesus Luzardo (LHP, PHI) | Stat | Brady Singer (RHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 7-4 | W-L | 3-8 |
| 2.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.0 |
| 3.75 / 3.07 | ERA / xERA | 5.03 / 5.56 |
| 2.97 / 2.98 | FIP / xFIP | 5.86 / 4.59 |
| 21.1 | K-BB% | 11.0 |
| 49.8 | GB% | 41.9 |
| .337 | BABIP | .312 |
| 111 | Stuff+ | 92 |
| 104 | Location+ | 97 |
Phillies vs Reds MLB Betting Preview, Prediction
Phillies SP Jesus Luzardo has racked up at least eight strikeouts in four of his last five starts and has had a single-digit SwStr% in just one start this year.
He also doesn’t have much of a split, striking out batters from either side of the plate at least 27.9% of the time this year.
Averaging a bit over 24 batters faced per start this year and 25 over his last five starts, the more contact-prone batters are likely to reside in the bottom third of the Reds order, with the first 25 he’d be likely to face averaging a 25.3 K% against LHP this year.
Luzardo only gets a 3-4% environmental bump (park, umpire, weather), but with his stuff in this matchup, I have him striking out about one-third of the batters he faces on average, which gives us room to spare at the price of 7.5.
Pick: Jesus Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts +115 (bet365), 0.5u (Bet to Even)
